645am OBS Tuesday 5/3 brought to you by Surfrider Oahu

Fairly cloudy for Leeward(may clear) & cloudy Windward/Mauka with lite to moderate filling to fresh ENE Trades. Small craft Advsrys for channels east of Molokai.

BIG PICTURE Link Updated Sat. Tiny Trace N + Small SSW & moderate trade swell. Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF.

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North Shore:

Down and dropping on a 9 sec North with Sunset Pt 1-2', Pipe '1(Ehukai area 2'), with Chuns almost 2' to Laniakea solid 2' with nice, clean offshores & fairly cloudy.
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West:

Holding the SSW mostly at Makaha 0-2' on the inside, behind the reef w/ calm to offshores by 8am & fairly cloudy.
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Town:

Down and Holding the 14 sec SSW. Surfs fun with 1-2.5' (chest) sets and good shape for top reefs like Bowls, Kewalos. Surf's 1-2+' mostly at Queens/Canoes with moderate ENE offshores; & fairly cloudy.
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Diamond Head:

Down and holding SSW +some SE. Dawn has 1-2' maybe 3' (head high on take off) with fairly clean 10-20mph side-offshores; decent lines at Right hands/Cliffs/Lite House...fairly cloudy.
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Sandy's:

Down and Holding on the SSW and 9 sec Trade swell at 1-2 occ 3' sets out in front of the Lifeguards, 2.5' from Full Pt - 1/2 point, occ 3' tubes at Gas Chambers.
Moderate 10-20mph ENE and bumpy side offshores; cloudy.
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East Makapu'u:

Down and Holding on a 8 sec Wind swell at 1-2+' at Makapu'u barely breaking outside on left and 1-2' at Keiki's & typical choppy onshore from fresh ENE trades & cloudy.

Weather

Tuesday
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Temp
min:
73°F
max: 84°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Wednesday
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Temp
min:
73°F
max: 84°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
18mph E

Thursday
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Temp
min:
73°F
max: 85°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
8mph SSE

Friday
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Temp
min:
71°F
max: 85°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
3mph W

Saturday
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Temp
min:
70°F
max: 82°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph NNE

Range:
10-25mph E-NE

Range:
10-25mph E-NE

Range:
5-10mph SE
veering variable w/ seabreezes
Range:
5-10mph Light/Var
midday seabreezes
Range:
5-15mph NE
trades fill

North

Tuesday
05/03
N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping
3' 9 sec; clean, cloudy
Wednesday
05/04
W-NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Rising
2-3' 16 sec; 4+' afternoon
Thursday
05/05
W-NW
Haw: 3-5
Face: 5-9
Holding
4' 15 sec
Friday
05/06
W-NW
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Dropping Slowly
4' 12 sec
Saturday
05/07
W-NW
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Dropping
3' 11 sec
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West

Tuesday
05/03
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping
clean, cloudy
Wednesday
05/04
NW SSW
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Rising Later
WNW fills midday
Thursday
05/05
COMBO
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Holding
WNW+S
Friday
05/06
COMBO
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Rising
New south
Saturday
05/07
S
Haw: 1-3+
Face: 2-5+
Rising

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South

Tuesday
05/03
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Dropping Slowly
2.5' 14s; clean, mostly cloudy (clearing)
Wednesday
05/04
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Dropping Slowly

Thursday
05/05
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping Slowly

Friday
05/06
S
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Rising
2.5' 16 sec
Saturday
05/07
SSE+SSW
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Rising
3' 16 sec
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east

Tuesday
05/03
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Holding
choppy, cloudy
Wednesday
05/04
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Thursday
05/05
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Friday
05/06
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Saturday
05/07
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

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Current Swells:

Tuesday   05/03
Primary: Dropping  S  3' surf at 14 sec
Secondary: Holding  E-NE  3' surf at 8 sec
Third: Dropping  N-NW  2' surf at 10 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Tuesday   05/03
Small Craft Adv for Channels East of Molokai
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Sailing Report:

Tuesday   05/03
Good for all shores with 10-20+ mph ENE trades
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Diving Report:

Tuesday   05/03
Good for deeper north, good for West shores. Fair-good for deeper South shores, fair for select East . Shallow water surges.

Oahu

SUNSET
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
fair

ROCKY POINT
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
ENE Trades moderate
good

Pipeline
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
ENE Trades moderate
fair

HALEIWA
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
ENE Trades moderate
fair to good

MAKAHA
Tuesday   05/03
S-SW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Trades light-moderate
smooth

ALA MOANA
Tuesday   05/03
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
ENE Trades moderate
good

Waikiki
Tuesday   05/03
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
good

Diamond Head
Tuesday   05/03
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
ENE Trades moderate
slightly bumpy

Sandy Beach
Tuesday   05/03
COMBO
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Trades moderate-fresh
slightly bumpy

Makapuu
Tuesday   05/03
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Maui

Hookipa
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Honolua
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Kihei
Tuesday   05/03
COMBO
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Hana
Tuesday   05/03
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Trades moderate
choppy

Lahaina
Tuesday   05/03
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
smooth

Kauai

Hanalei
Tuesday   05/03
N
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Majors
Tuesday   05/03
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades moderate-fresh
good

Poipu
Tuesday   05/03
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Kapaa
Tuesday   05/03
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Tuesday   05/03
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Kohala
Tuesday   05/03
COMBO
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate-fresh
diving , paddling and fishin'

Kona
Tuesday   05/03
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Hilo
Tuesday   05/03
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Kau
Tuesday   05/03
ENE+S
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy
+ SSE

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE

Saturday 4/30/16

Quick-look…Fun spring time 2-3+ NW for Saturday eases as next NW pulse reaches 5’ Sunday. There are small 4 episodes through May 15th. Not bad at all.

NPAC:
The Jet is too bad for end of April. There’s an up and down flow from Japan to just North of us. This closer jet area has the most troughing as it points SE at Hawaii. There’s a ton of High pressure off to our NE keeping East angled trade this past week and into Monday. A new High refreshens the trades Sunday on. This new high weakens the Jet and pushes it north next week however, there are troughs allowing for the spawning of more Lows keeping NW shores very doable. Then by Friday the 8th we don’t look great for long range trends (2 week out) as Highs dominate and the Jet moves far north and weakens.

Recent-current: Friday some 13 sec NW surf ramped to 3’ from a gale Low 2000 miles away beginning of last week. Saturday got up to 4’ for highest refracting reefs from this Lows NE track which marched to about 1500 miles away.

Next: A 14 sec NNW should bump Sunday to 3-5’ by 9am. It comes by a stronger storm Thursday the 18th to our NNW which was only 1000 miles off. The closer the Low the higher the surf in general due to less swell decay. Trades will ramp due to new High moving east of the dateline.

Next #2: Long period 16-18 sec NW fills Wednesday the 6th from a 45-55kt occluding Low near Hokkaido (N Japan). It slowing tracks NE then East to over 2000 miles away as it fades. This one’s going to last thanks to a long lasting fetch. Surf should reach 4 maybe 5’ for the Wed. evening sesh and hold at 3-5’ Thursday before fading about a foot a day.

Next #3: A new gale Low pops on the dateline this Wed the 4th about 1200 miles away. It tracks east and broadens as the winds weaken to 30-35kts. The fetch is wide which helps seas growth. Look for a short 11 sec NW building Saturday the 7th up to 4-6’ and holding Sunday at the same double overhead cat. It goes fast from late Monday. It is here we go into a long lasting lull.


SPAC:

The Jet has recently been getting more active with greater meridional or N to S flows which steers the storms in our direction. In fact it’s straight north this weekend right off NZL’s east coast. There’s a long fetch set up for a great SSW a week away. We go weak the rest of the work week. But it deepens again this Friday the 6th but its zonal or west to east. Saturday it starts bending NE off NZL. Models hint of a lows formation.

Recent and current: it’s been fun but small 13-15 sec SW-SSW-SSE swells the past 2 weeks thanks to an ongoing series fetches down under. All the swells tho’ have been mostly 3’ or very average. There have been few 4’ days warming us up. Fresh East winds have made for side off shores.

Next #1: A solid 16 sec SSW is going to rise 2-4’ (top reefs) by midday Sunday and last long. The storm spun down under with a wide but weakening fetch into Tuesday. Surf will be good into Wednesday as the periods drop to 12-14 sec. It was a big Low with strong 45kt gales last Sunday the 24th. A degree of the fetch points off to our east. So many spots may max at 3’.

Next #2: By Friday down under 40-55kt Low far SE of NZL tracks North with a following fetch. Watch for a rise Friday the 7th to 2-4’ from the 16 sec SSW esp by midday and last through Monday the 11th.

Windward: Average 1-3+’ from strong East trades the past couple weeks. Watch for windswell to ramp this Monday due to the new High moving in from the East. w/ Minor downward variations into next weekend.

Tropics:
Nothing at over this 7 day forecast period.










Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)


Surfer's Wall Photos

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