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OBS 645 Monday Jan 23rd. Powered by Cholos Margarita Mondays

Moderate to fresh ENE trades. Overcast with isolated showers for Windward/ Mauka, Leeward and North. High surf advisory for East shores...Small craft advisory fro channels.

BIG PICTURE Update. High ENE, moderate N and tiny SSW... Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF 7a, 12p, 3p, 5p trend/recap.

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North Shore:

Down and dropping on the 11 sec North/10 sec NE mix. Surf is 2-3' isolated 4' with better conditions today; still some side-off shore bump and poor form for most spots. Sunset is 2-3 occ plus (Sunset Pro is off); Pipe is 1-2' (Ehukai is bigger), Chuns 1-2+, Laniakea is 2-4'. Ali'i Beach Park 1-2+ with overcast and isolated showers.
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West:

Down and dropping small NNW with occ trace SSW. Makaha is 1-2' and inconsistent with top sets in the maybe occ chest range. Clean early with offshores filling and clouds.
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Town:

Up and rising on a tiny 15 sec SSW. Surf is fairly clean 0-1' occ. 2'. Moderate ENE offshore early with fair form and more energy than recently from Kewalos to Courts, Bowls to Piles to Kaisers. Threes-Pops-Queens mostly 0-1' occ. 2' and fairly clean & cloudy.
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Diamond Head:

Up and rising on a tiny 15 sec SSW with some wind swell mix. Surf is 1-2' maybe the occ.+ of chest high drop. Brisk side-offshore ENE trades generating poor, peaky form but some SSW line from Lighthouse to Right hands, Cliffs etc; cloudy.
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Sandy's:

Holding on the small 10 sec NNE wrap moderate 10 sec ENE trade swell with new trace 15 sec SSW. Surf is 2-3' with consistent head-high energy from Full Point through 1/2-point through Middle peaks to Gas Chambers. bumpy side-offshore ENE trades early & cloudy.
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East Makapu'u:

Holding on the 10 sec NNE and trade swell. Surf is 3-5' with gusty ENE onshore chop. Top sets are breaking outside middle. Even Keiki's side is getting action in the 2-4'+ range with powerful tubes winding and overcast.

Weather

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 86°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
13mph ENE

Tuesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 85°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 86°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
69°F
max: 86°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
13mph ENE

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
68°F
max: 86°F

Overcast

Wind:
8mph NE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
10-25mph NE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE
veering variable
Range:
5-10mph Light/Var

North

Monday
01/23
N-NE
Haw: 2-3 occ 4
Face: 3-5 occ 7
Dropping
5' 11 sec; moderate side-offshore; cloudy
Tuesday
01/24
NW
Haw: 6-8+
Face: 10-15+
Rising
5' 20s 8am to 10' 18s 2pm (18' surf late afternoon)
Wednesday
01/25
NW
Haw: 12-18+
Face: 18-30+
Rising
12.5' 15 WNW + 10' 20 sec 2pm (20' surf evening)
Thursday
01/26
NW
Haw: 12-18
Face: 18-30
Dropping
12' 15 sec
Friday
01/27
NW
Haw: 6-10
Face: 10-18
Dropping
6' 14s
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West

Monday
01/23
N SSW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding
Fairly clean, offshore; clouds
Tuesday
01/24
NW
Haw: 4-6+
Face: 6-10+
Rising

Wednesday
01/25
NW
Haw: 8-12
Face: 14-20
Holding

Thursday
01/26
NW
Haw: 10-12 occ +
Face: 15-20 occ +
Dropping

Friday
01/27
NW
Haw: 6-8
Face: 10-15
Dropping

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South

Monday
01/23
SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising
1' 15 sec; fairly clean/cloudy
Tuesday
01/24
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Wednesday
01/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Dropping

Thursday
01/26
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding

Friday
01/27
S-SW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

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east

Monday
01/23
E-NE
Haw: 3-4+
Face: 5-7+
Dropping
choppy; cloudy
Tuesday
01/24
E-NE
Haw: 1-3+
Face: 2-5+
Dropping

Wednesday
01/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Dropping

Thursday
01/26
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Friday
01/27
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

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Current Swells:

Monday   01/23
Primary: Dropping  E-NE  2-4' surf at 9 sec
Secondary: Dropping Slowly  N-NE  4' surf at 11 sec
Third: Holding  S-SW  1-2' surf at 15 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Monday   01/23
Small Craft for channels...High surf advisory E facing shores
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Sailing Report:

Monday   01/23
Fair to Good for all shores as ENE trades blow 10-20mph
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Diving Report:

Monday   01/23
Poor for North, fair-good for West facing shores, good for South, poor for East dives

Oahu

SUNSET
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
ENE Trades light-moderate
fair

ROCKY POINT
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
ENE Trades light-moderate
fair

Pipeline
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades light-moderate
smooth

HALEIWA
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
ENE Trades moderate
fair

MAKAHA
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades light
smooth

ALA MOANA
Monday   01/23
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light-moderate
fair to good

Waikiki
Monday   01/23
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light-moderate
good

Diamond Head
Monday   01/23
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
bumpy

Sandy Beach
Monday   01/23
ENE+N
Haw: 1-3 occ +
Face: 2-5 occ +
Trades moderate-fresh
fair

Makapuu
Monday   01/23
ENE+N
Haw: 3-5
Face: 5-9
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Maui

Hookipa
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 2-3 occ 4
Face: 3-5 occ 7
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Honolua
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate
fair to good

Honolua
Monday   01/23
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate
fair to good
6' late afternoon
Kihei
Monday   01/23
COMBO
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate
good

Hana
Monday   01/23
ENE+N
Haw: 3-5
Face: 5-9
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Lahaina
Monday   01/23
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades moderate
fair to good

Kauai

Hanalei
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Trades moderate
fair to good

Majors
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate
good

Poipu
Monday   01/23
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
ENE Trades light-moderate
good

Kapaa
Monday   01/23
ENE+N
Haw: 2-4+
Face: 3-7+
Trades moderate
choppy

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Monday   01/23
ENE+N
Haw: 3-5
Face: 5-9
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Kohala
Monday   01/23
N
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate
smooth

Kona
Monday   01/23
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light-moderate
good

Hilo
Monday   01/23
ENE+N
Haw: 2-4+
Face: 3-7+
Trades moderate
choppy

Kau
Monday   01/23
COMBO
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE From Tuesday 1/24/17

NPAC

The Jet is again, gorgeous, long, low and consolidated off Japan and ends up nosing to our 160west longitude with winds over 200mph. Thus, plenty BIG surf in the forecast as this large upper air current helps created Lows and steer them. This has been the set up for nearly 2 weeks. A strong High to our ENE has kept trades ramped, too.

#1 recently, we’ve been on the decline from a 15-18’ NW which hit peaked last Thursday 1/19 with some spots getting real good. After that we had a cold front whip up wind warnings and a large NNE swell which peaked at 8’ easy for isolated reefs. This NNE and the aforementioned NW have been declining but the combo has kept things going even solid 4’ at e.g. Laniakea on Monday the 23rd.

#2 A Big NW veering NNW is nearing and will pop the NW buoy (275 miles NW) Tuesday 8am to 4’ 20 sec. with surf hitting 10’ 18 sec in the afternoon. This will equate to about 10-15’ waves cracking outer reefs and getting Waimea going later in the day. Source: a Low tracked ENE with a broad, partially captured fetch (280-310) from last Friday into Monday. The storm also occluded (stalled and spread its wings) Sunday as a very large gyre and fetch. Some seas hit 40’. Because of these factors the episode will crank awhile peaking Wednesday from a more NW-NNW (up to 330) at 12-18’. Thursday will still have a few 12’ plus sets and by Friday eve when things settle a new fatty appears.

#3 A smaller low on the dateline Wednesday the 25th tracks East within the zonal Jet nosing to about 1000 miles off. This doesn’t allow much ‘decay’ time thus a peak of about 10-15’ surf at 15 sec should be fully arrived first half of Saturday the 28th. Surf will start up to 5-7’ late Friday.

#4 The long range sees a SE tracking Low with a following or captured fetch on our side of the dateline by Saturday 28th, Seas reach over 30’. Right now WW3 predicts 16’ 15’ Sunday night (near 25’ surf). That’s not shy. Then it only drops to 16’ 14 sec Monday morning the 30th. Surf could be over 20’. The Low weakens rapidly Sunday but the seas were already built and just 600 miles to the NNW. Even if this is running hot we’ll still see very BIG storm surf due to NNE winds assoc. with the nearby system. It’ll be way down by Tuesday to 8-10’ maybe 12’

#5 we have a small 5’ N coming Wed. Feb 1st and a moderate+ NW of 7’ on Thursday the 2nd.

SPAC

The Jet down under has decent energy but is not flowing our way. Thus, the zonal Lows are not expected to bring much more than 2’ in the coming weeks.

Recently, it’s been more about the West wraps than the 2’ trace SSW’s.
#1 some tiny 1’ swell at 15 sec have touched the Lanai buoy but this means no more than the occas. 2’ set for top reefs.
#2 A longer period SSW may come end of the month and reach chest high around Friday the 3rd of Feb. It’s low confidence.

Trade Swell

#1 Trade Wind and NNE swell is still kicking up to adv. levels of 5’ Monday the 23rd. This will fade to 4’ Tuesday and to 3’ by later this week say Thursday as upstream winds weaken and periods lower to 8 sec.
#2 Next ramp up is this Monday-Wednesday 1/30-2/1 as strong NE are expected with the BIG NNW to NNE event which will totally override the wind waves. Spots like Makapu’u could hit 10’ with wind swell hitting 4’.

The Tropics

So far they’re nothing forecasted on Hawaii for the next week or so.






Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)

Surfer's Wall Photos

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