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645am OBs Friday 2/12 by Megadeth March 2-3.

Clear & dry with increased moderate ENE Trades. High surf Advsrys for NW facing shores + Small craft Advsrys.

BIG PICTURED UPDATED. NW down to near 10'. SSW disappointing. Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF.

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North Shore:

Down and dropping on the NNW. NW Buoy 8' 14 sec. Hanalei 10' 15 sec & Waimea 9' 15 sec. Sunset now 7-10' now manageable and decent shape & Pipe is getting missed 5-7'. Chuns 5-7' with fair to good light-moderate side offshores and clear skies.
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West:

Down and dropping on the NW. Surf hitting 4-7' not much from the Point anymore but some in the Bowl at Makaha with smooth conditions and good shape; clear. Buffalo Big Board Classic all Weekend through Presidents Day.
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Town:

Holding on a micro 14 sec SSW: late morning from Kaisers to Kewalos 0-1 occ 1.5' maybe a few 2' and same for Queens/Canoes with sets per 30 minutes; fair side-offshores and clear.
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Diamond Head:

Holding SSW (chance of trace NW) at 0-1.5' maybe occ 2' sets and semi bumpy with ENE trades back at Right hands/Cliffs/Lite House with clear skies.
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Sandy's:

Holding mostly small North wrap, barely visible East and SW at 1-2 with some 3' for Full Pt-Half and 2' into middles and some 3' for Gas Chambers and better shape than Makapu'u; sideshore bumpy and clear.
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East Makapu'u:

Holding at Makapu'u with North wrap at 1-3' toward Keiki's but closing out with chopy, disorganized conditions semi cloudy skies.

Weather

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 86°F

Clear

Wind:
8mph ESE

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 86°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
13mph E

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 85°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph E

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
70°F
max: 85°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
28mph ENE

Tuesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
69°F
max: 82°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
28mph NE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
5-15+mph SE
afternoon seabrz?
Range:
10-20mph NE

Range:
10-25mph NE

Range:
15-30mph NE

North

Friday
02/12
N-NW
Haw: 6-10
Face: 10-18
Dropping
10' 15 sec; fair-good, clear
Saturday
02/13
N-NW
Haw: 5-8
Face: 8-14
Dropping

Sunday
02/14
W-NW
Haw: 10-12+
Face: 15-20+
Rising
10' 16 sec
Monday
02/15
NW
Haw: 10-12 occ 15
Face: 15-20 occ 25’
Holding
10' 15 sec + 6' NE
Tuesday
02/16
NW
Haw: 8-10+
Face: 12-18+
Dropping
8' 14 sec
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West

Friday
02/12
N-NW
Haw: 4-6+
Face: 6-10+
Dropping
Good clean offshore, clear
Saturday
02/13
W-NW
Haw: 5-8
Face: 8-14
Rising Later

Sunday
02/14
NW
Haw: 8-12
Face: 14-20
Holding

Monday
02/15
NW
Haw: 8-12
Face: 14-20
Holding

Tuesday
02/16
NW
Haw: 6-8+
Face: 10-15+
Dropping

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South

Friday
02/12
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising
.7' 16 sec (trace ground swell)
Saturday
02/13
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Sunday
02/14
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Monday
02/15
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Tuesday
02/16
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding

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east

Friday
02/12
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Holding
isolated 3' N wrap
Saturday
02/13
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Dropping

Sunday
02/14
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Monday
02/15
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Tuesday
02/16
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

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Current Swells:

Friday   02/12
Primary: Dropping  N-NW  6-10' surf at 15 sec
Secondary: Holding  S-SW  2' surf at 13 sec
Third: Holding  ENE+N  3'surf at 7-15 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Friday   02/12
Small craft Advsrys and High Surf Advsrys
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Sailing Report:

Friday   02/12
Good with light-moderate ENE trades and clear
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Diving Report:

Friday   02/12
Good for South; Poor for North and poor-fair for West dives; fair for isolated East shores

Oahu

SUNSET
Friday   02/12
N-NW
Haw: 6-8 occ 10
Face: 10-15 occ 18
Trades light-moderate
fair to good

ROCKY POINT
Friday   02/12
N-NW
Haw: 5-8
Face: 8-14
Trades light-moderate
fair to good

Pipeline
Friday   02/12
N-NW
Haw: 5-7+
Face: 8-12+
Trades light-moderate
fair
closing out
HALEIWA
Friday   02/12
N-NW
Haw: 5-7
Face: 8-12
Trades light-moderate
good

MAKAHA
Friday   02/12
N-NW
Haw: 4-6+
Face: 6-10+
Trades light
smooth am...mushy pm

ALA MOANA
Friday   02/12
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light-moderate
fair to good

Waikiki
Friday   02/12
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Trades light-moderate
fair to good

Diamond Head
Friday   02/12
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light-moderate
bumpy

Sandy Beach
Friday   02/12
S+N
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades light-moderate
bumpy

Makapuu
Friday   02/12
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate
choppy

Maui

Kauai

Big Island

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

Big Picture

Wednesday 2/9/16

NPAC:
Same set up. The El Nino jetstream is low and consolidated off Japan from 25-40 N lat Pockets of 200 kts and flows beyond longitudes of Hawaii with a break before the end of this 7 day forecast period It’s been supporting the growth of solid surface Lows and steering them close to us with now approx 10 classic big swells for El Nino. Over this past weekend the jet took a new shape with an NE tilt up from Japan to a Dip down right toward Hawaii by Sunday 2/7 leading to a frontal passage and N wind pattern change. It was short lived and now we have gorgeous weather and lite trades.

Recent and current: The BIG ONE was pointed a little too ENE of us yet still has mustered some 15’ swell at 17 sec. Models had backed down on the GIANT NW-NNW slated for early Wed. but the delay was long. It’s still peaking late today into Thursday morning up to 25’ for outer reefs. The Bay doesn’t seem to be pulling in a much as hoped. Thus, the call to postpone The Eddie was correct. Friday it’s still going to be big. Source: An occluded Low pressure deepened fast this past weekend; it began formation nearing the dateline this Sunday and intensifying with 40-50’ seas by Monday as it now tracks more East at first then ESE (earlier runs had a better captured fetch). Highest seas from this Low’s were off to our NE thus it never brought us its full potential.

Last: A big Low tracks E to ESE off the Kuril Islands Thursday the 11th reaching the dateline Friday with 30’ seas. Over the weekend of the 13th the storm is nosing to 5-600 miles to the NW. Plus, there’s some follow up Low’s within the complex parent low adding some support as the 2 areas split. This will lead to just below warning level WNW to NW surf Sunday for Valentines and lasting thru Tuesday which is rare. It’ll drop to 8-10’ by Wed the 17th.

SPAC:
The Jet down under is actually conducive to some SSW swell development. The Flow is ENE all week and almost N pointing by week’s end. The southern branch goes zonal by Friday. It really weakens after that with little to no surface low potential.

Recent and current: It’s been tiny with mostly NW wrap trying to occas. give what’s been missing. Trace background thigh high surf is all we’ve had with a few exceptional 2’ sets.

Next: A low moved ENE within the Jet flow mentioned Tues 2/2-Thurs as it veers east out of our window. So we had only 2’ surf from the SSW Tuesday-Thursday at 14 seconds.

Next: a fairly big Low comes out from under NZL Friday the 5th and doesn’t have much of an extended fetch so we’ll only see 1’ of SSW swell at 16 seconds Friday the 12th or 2’ surf.

Long Range: That’s about it for now. Occasional lows moving within the off and on zonal jet through the period.


Windward: Tiny trade swells under 2’ with N wrap over riding all other sources.

Tropics: Nothing.























Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)


Please visit the Central Pacific Hurricane Center website at www.weather.gov/cphc for the most recent bulletins.

Hurricanes/T-Storms so far….

Andres
Blanca
Carlos
Dolores Enrique Felicia
Guillermo Hilda Ignacio Jimena Kevin Linda
Marty Nora Olaf Patricia Rick Sandra
Terry Vivian Waldo Xina York Zelda

Surfer's Wall Photos

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