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Cholos KARAOKE

7am OBS, Saturday, July 5th

Partly cloudy morning. Moderate to fresh E-ENE trades building to strong paces this afternoon. Isolated showers favoring windward and mauka. Small Craft Adv for all waters.

Small South. Average ENE trade swell and a hint of tiny NNE. Call 596-SURF: 7a, Noon, 4pm (recap-forecast).

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North Shore:

Holding a micro-NNE. Semi smooth light-moderate side offshores. Sunset flat-1; Rocky Pt flat-1; Pipe flat; Chuns flat-1/2; Laniakea 0-1.5'; Ali'i Beach Park flat. Scattered clouds.
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West:

Holding 14 sec South. Rising 20 sec South. Down and dropping 11 sec South. Smooth from the fresh offshores. Makaha is 0-15' and about 2' sets at west side focal reefs. Mostly sunny.
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Town:

Holding 14 sec South. Rising 20 sec South. Down and dropping 11 sec South. Clean light offshores early...Waikiki reefs are 0-1-occ. +; Kaisers-Rockpiles to Ala Moana to Kewalos are 1-occ. 2'. Partly cloudy.
Photo courtesy of Eric Tessmer

Diamond Head:

Holding 14 sec South. Rising 20 sec South. Down and dropping 11 sec South. Choppy moderate to fresh side-offshore trades. Surf's 1-2'+. Partly cloudy.
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Sandy's:

Holding 14 sec South. Rising 20 sec South. Down and dropping 11 sec South. ENE trade wrap. Choppy esp over the exposed reefs due to moderate to fresh side shore ENE trades. Full Pt/Half Pt are 1-2 occ. 3'... Shorebreak is also 1-2' occ. 3' w/ the biggest combo sets from Cobbles to Middle Peaks to Gas Chambers. Partly cloudy.
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East Makapu'u:

Up a Rising 7 sec ENE trade swell. Choppy on shore moderate-fresh+ ENE trades. Surf's 1-2' occ. + spread out through the bay. Mostly cloudy.
HSFF 2025 728X90

Winds

Saturday
Range:
15-30mph ENE to E

Sunday
Range:
15-30mph ENE Trade

Monday
Range:
15-30mph ENE Trade

Tuesday
Range:
15-30mph ENE Trade

Wednesday
Range:
15-25+mph ENE to E

North

Saturday
07/05

Primary

Up & holding 7s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
divin , paddlin, fishin, sailin

Sunday
07/06

Primary

Holding 7s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
windy

Monday
07/07

Primary

Holding 7s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
windy

Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
windy

Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
divin , paddlin, fishin, sailin

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West

Saturday
07/05

Primary

Holding 14s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Up & holding 7s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
Sunday
07/06

Primary

Dropping 12s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Holding 7s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
Monday
07/07

Primary

Holding 15s S
Haw: 0
Face: 0

Secondary

Holding 7s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Rising 18s SSW
Haw: 0
Face: 0

Secondary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair side-offshores
Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Up & holding 15s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
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South

Saturday
07/05

Primary

Holding 14s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

Rising 20s S
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Fair-Good side-offshore

Sunday
07/06

Primary

Dropping 12s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

Up & holding 17s S
Haw: 1-1.5
Face: 1-2
Fair-Good side-offshore

Monday
07/07

Primary

Holding 15s S
Haw: 1-1.5
Face: 1-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore

Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Rising 18s SSW
Haw: 1-1.5
Face: 1-2

Secondary

Dropping 13s S
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Fair side-offshores

Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Up & holding 15s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

Rising Later 17s SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Fair-Good side-offshore

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east

Saturday
07/05

Primary

Up & Rising 7s ENE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Choppy

Sunday
07/06

Primary

Up & Rising 7s ENE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
bumpy

Monday
07/07

Primary

Up & holding 7s ENE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Lumpy-Bumpy

Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Dropping Later 8s ENE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Lumpy-Bumpy

Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Dropping 8s NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Lumpy-Bumpy

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Current Swells:

Saturday 07/05
Primary: Up & Rising 7s ENE surf @1-2+ 
Secondary: Holding 14s SSW surf @1 occ 2 
Third: Up & holding 7s NE surf @0-1.5 
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Marine Warnings:

Saturday   07/05
Small craft adv all Islands
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Sailing Report:

Saturday   07/05
Good, esp for the more experienced, due to fresh ENE trades filling strong at 15-30mph
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Diving Report:

Saturday   07/05
North Shore: Good (even better: deeper dives) due to .... no real surf under light to moderate side-offshore trades and fairly clear skies. South: Fair overall (deep dives only; select protected areas still good) due to small surf and light to moderate ENE trades. West: Fair to good due to small to moderate surf surges (best: deeper dives) and lite offshore trades and nice weather + sea breezes by lunch. East: Fair for most zones with small windswell and some NNE. Trades filling 15-25+... protected prime zones best.

Oahu

Maui

Kauai

Big Island

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

INACTIVE.
Get the latest on the tropics at www.hurricanes.gov
The Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlook for the 2017 Central Pacific Hurricane Season calls for 5 to 8 tropical cyclones to either develop or cross into the Central Pacific with a 40% chance for an above-normal season, a 40% chance for a normal season, and a 20% chance for a below-normal season. An average season has 4 to 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.
A tropical depression forms when a low-pressure area is accompanied by thunderstorms that produce a circular wind flow with maximum sustained winds below 39 mph. An upgrade to a tropical storm occurs when cyclonic circulation becomes more organized and maximum sustained winds gust between 39 mph and 73 mph. A tropical storm is then upgraded into Category 1 hurricane status as maximum sustained winds increase to between 74 mph and 95 mph. (The highest classification in the scale, Category 5, is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 156 mph).
Tropical cyclones go by many names around the world, and the terminology can get confusing. Once a tropical cyclone strengthens to the point where it has gale-force winds—39 mph or greater—it becomes a tropical storm. A storm that reaches tropical storm strength usually gets its own name to help us quickly identify it in forecasts and warnings. Once a tropical storm begins producing sustained winds of around 75 mph, we call the storm a typhoon in the western Pacific near Asia and a hurricane in the oceans on either side of North America. A “typhoon” and a “hurricane” are the same kind of storm, they just go by different names…it’s only a matter of geography.
NWS criteria for High Surf Advisories & Warnings.
In coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i, the NWS uses the criteria below for the issuance of High Surf Advisories & Warnings in coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i.
All surf height observations & forecasts are for the full face surf height, from the trough to the crest of the wave.
Advisory and Warning Criteria Location
Warning North-Facing Shores 15 Feet 25 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Remaining Islands 12 Feet 20 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Big Island 8 Feet 12 Feet
South-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet
East-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet
'Travel Time' Buoy 51101 to Waimea Buoy. Distance: 269 nautical miles (~310 miles). Angle: 307 deg
Wave Wave Wave Depth Wave Direction (deg)----------
Period Length Speed Shallow 295, 305, 315, 325, 335, 345, 355
(s) (ft) (nm/h) (ft) Travel Time (hours)----------
10sec. 512. 15. 256. 17.3, 17.7, 17.6, 16.9, 15.7, 14.0, 11.9
12sec. 737. 18. 369. 14.5, 14.8, 14.6, 14.0, 13.0, 11.6, 9.9
14sec. 1003. 21. 502. 12.4, 12.7, 12.5, 12.0, 11.2, 10.0, 8.5
16sec. 1310. 24. 655. 10.8, ,1 1.1, 11.0, 10.5, 9.8, 8.7, 7.4
18sec. 1658. 27. 829. 9.6, 9.8, 9.8, 9.4, 8.7, 7.8, 6.6
20sec. 2047. 30. 1024. 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.0 5.9
22sec. 2477. 33. 1239. 7.9 8.1 8.0 7.7 7.1 6.3 5.4
24sec. 2948. 36. 1474. 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.0 6.5 5.8 4.9

Tropical Storms - wind 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 -winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 -winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 -winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)
Please visit the Central Pacific Hurricane Center website at www.weather.gov/cphc for the most recent bulletins.
ENSO is a single climate phenomenon, it has three states or phases. The two opposite phases, “El Niño” and “La Niña,” require certain changes in both the ocean and the atmosphere because ENSO is a coupled climate phenomenon. “Neutral” is in the middle of the continuum. The MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average, unlike ENSO which is stationary. In a nutshell, more active means more surf.
Kelvin wave (A Kelvin wave is a wave in the ocean or atmosphere that balances the Earth's Coriolis force against a topographic boundary such as a coastline, or a waveguide such as the equator. A feature of a Kelvin wave is that it is non-dispersive, i.e., the phase speed of the wave crests is equal to the group speed of the wave energy for all frequencies. This means that it retains its shape as it moves in the alongshore direction over time.)

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