cholos Salsa Jan 2019

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USED SURFBOARDS REPAIR DEC 2018-19

645am OBS Wednesday Jan 16th

Another very cloudy morning ahead of front with increasing S to SSW Konas filling to moderate. Small Craft Adv for Oahu's Leeward Coast and all of Kauai.

Small to moderate NW, small SSW and building Kona swell and micro East swell. Call 596-SURF: 7a, 12, 3 & 5p recap-forecast.

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North Shore:

Way Down & dropping the 13sec NW. Surf is side offshore and semi bumpy. Sunset Pt is up to 4' or so and Rockys too. Pipe is just 2-4' now. Chuns about the same. Haleiwa 2-3'+' under low dark cloudy skies.
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West:

Way Down & dropping the 13sec NW. Makaha is 2-3'' maybe occ + & mushy onshore SSW konas under cloudy skies.
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Town:

Down & dropping 14 sec SSW. Surf is light onshore konas ahead of front early at a weak 0-1-2', slow, inconsistent, peaky from Kewalos to Courts, Bowls to Kaisers. Threes-Pops-Queens-Public's 0-2' toward Diamond Head under clouds.
Photo courtesy of Eric Tessmer

Diamond Head:

Down and Holding the SSW. Surf is onshore SSW Konas at 1-2' chance of chest high max and slow mush with overall short rides under cloudy skies.
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Sandy's:

Holding the micro East + occ. SSW at 1-2' and bumpy Konas breaking inside mostly under ominous clouds out there.
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East Makapu'u:

Holding 8sec micro East. Surf is smooth, offshore Konas 0-1' mostly with weak energy down the middle; Keiki's up to 1' under cloudy skies.
Surfboard Factory Hawaii 728 Generic 2019

Weather

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 87°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph SW

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 83°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
18mph NE

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 86°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 87°F

Clear

Wind:
8mph W

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 87°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
8mph SW

Range:
10-25mph SW Kona
veering NW late: front
Range:
10-20mph NE Trade

Range:
10-20mph ENE Trade

Range:
5-10mph SE

Range:
5-10mph South

North

Thursday
01/17

Primary

Dropping 13s NW
Haw: 2-4 occ +
Face: 3-7 occ +

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
slightly bumpy
Kona winds
Friday
01/18

Primary

Dropping 11s NW
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair side-offshores

Saturday
01/19

Primary

Dropping 10s NNW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore

Sunday
01/20

Primary

Dropping 10s NNW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore

Monday
01/21

Primary

Dropping 9s NNW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Good

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West

Thursday
01/17

Primary

Dropping 13s NW
Haw: 1-3 occ +
Face: 2-5 occ +

Secondary

Dropping 14s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
slightly bumpy
Friday
01/18

Primary

Dropping 11s NW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+

Secondary

Holding 13s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Fair side-offshores
Saturday
01/19

Primary

Rising 15s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Dropping 10s NNW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Fair to good
Sunday
01/20

Primary

Holding 14s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Dropping 10s NNW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Fair to good
Monday
01/21

Primary

Dropping 9s NNW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Holding 12s SSW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Good
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South

Thursday
01/17

Primary

Dropping 14s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Poor onshore

Friday
01/18

Primary

Holding 13s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair to good

Saturday
01/19

Primary

Rising 15s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair to good

Sunday
01/20

Primary

Holding 14s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair to good

Monday
01/21

Primary

Holding 12s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair to good

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east

Thursday
01/17

Primary

Holding 8s ENE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Good
Kona winds
Friday
01/18

Primary

Holding 8s NNE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Choppy

Saturday
01/19

Primary

Holding 9s ENE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Choppy

Sunday
01/20

Primary

Holding 8s ENE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Choppy

Monday
01/21

Primary

Holding 8s ENE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
bumpy

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Current Swells:

Thursday 01/17
Primary: Dropping 13s NW surf @2-4 occ + 
Secondary: Dropping 14s SSW surf @1 occ 2 
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Marine Warnings:

Thursday   01/17
Small craft Adv for Oahu Leeward and all Kauai due to Front and gusty SW Konas
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Sailing Report:

Thursday   01/17
Poor to fair with moderate SW Kona winds due to Front today...changing tonight to NE trades...
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Diving Report:

Thursday   01/17
Poor for North shores and West shores + poor overall for south shores; fair for select 'inside reefs' and poor-fair for select 'outside reefs' along Windward shores.

Oahu

Maui

Kauai

Big Island

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

INACTIVE.
Get the latest on the tropics at www.hurricanes.gov
The Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlook for the 2017 Central Pacific Hurricane Season calls for 5 to 8 tropical cyclones to either develop or cross into the Central Pacific with a 40% chance for an above-normal season, a 40% chance for a normal season, and a 20% chance for a below-normal season. An average season has 4 to 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.
A tropical depression forms when a low-pressure area is accompanied by thunderstorms that produce a circular wind flow with maximum sustained winds below 39 mph. An upgrade to a tropical storm occurs when cyclonic circulation becomes more organized and maximum sustained winds gust between 39 mph and 73 mph. A tropical storm is then upgraded into Category 1 hurricane status as maximum sustained winds increase to between 74 mph and 95 mph. (The highest classification in the scale, Category 5, is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 156 mph).
Tropical cyclones go by many names around the world, and the terminology can get confusing. Once a tropical cyclone strengthens to the point where it has gale-force winds—39 mph or greater—it becomes a tropical storm. A storm that reaches tropical storm strength usually gets its own name to help us quickly identify it in forecasts and warnings. Once a tropical storm begins producing sustained winds of around 75 mph, we call the storm a typhoon in the western Pacific near Asia and a hurricane in the oceans on either side of North America. A “typhoon” and a “hurricane” are the same kind of storm, they just go by different names…it’s only a matter of geography.
NWS criteria for High Surf Advisories & Warnings.
In coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i, the NWS uses the criteria below for the issuance of High Surf Advisories & Warnings in coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i.
All surf height observations & forecasts are for the full face surf height, from the trough to the crest of the wave.
Advisory and Warning Criteria Location
Warning North-Facing Shores 15 Feet 25 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Remaining Islands 12 Feet 20 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Big Island 8 Feet 12 Feet
South-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet
East-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet
'Travel Time' Buoy 51101 to Waimea Buoy. Distance: 269 nautical miles (~310 miles). Angle: 307 deg
Wave Wave Wave Depth Wave Direction (deg)----------
Period Length Speed Shallow 295, 305, 315, 325, 335, 345, 355
(s) (ft) (nm/h) (ft) Travel Time (hours)----------
10sec. 512. 15. 256. 17.3, 17.7, 17.6, 16.9, 15.7, 14.0, 11.9
12sec. 737. 18. 369. 14.5, 14.8, 14.6, 14.0, 13.0, 11.6, 9.9
14sec. 1003. 21. 502. 12.4, 12.7, 12.5, 12.0, 11.2, 10.0, 8.5
16sec. 1310. 24. 655. 10.8, ,1 1.1, 11.0, 10.5, 9.8, 8.7, 7.4
18sec. 1658. 27. 829. 9.6, 9.8, 9.8, 9.4, 8.7, 7.8, 6.6
20sec. 2047. 30. 1024. 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.0 5.9
22sec. 2477. 33. 1239. 7.9 8.1 8.0 7.7 7.1 6.3 5.4
24sec. 2948. 36. 1474. 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.0 6.5 5.8 4.9

Tropical Storms - wind 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 -winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 -winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 -winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)
Please visit the Central Pacific Hurricane Center website at www.weather.gov/cphc for the most recent bulletins.
ENSO is a single climate phenomenon, it has three states or phases. The two opposite phases, “El Niño” and “La Niña,” require certain changes in both the ocean and the atmosphere because ENSO is a coupled climate phenomenon. “Neutral” is in the middle of the continuum. The MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average, unlike ENSO which is stationary. In a nutshell, more active means more surf.
Kelvin wave (A Kelvin wave is a wave in the ocean or atmosphere that balances the Earth's Coriolis force against a topographic boundary such as a coastline, or a waveguide such as the equator. A feature of a Kelvin wave is that it is non-dispersive, i.e., the phase speed of the wave crests is equal to the group speed of the wave energy for all frequencies. This means that it retains its shape as it moves in the alongshore direction over time.)

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