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Bamp Feb Humor

645am Obs Thursday 3/23 Powered by Ron Ortis' Son Caribe Band at Cholos Sunday!

Partly clear for Leeward, broken-overcast for NS/Windward/Mauka. Light East trades filling in.

BIG PICTURE Updated. Faded small-moderate NW-WNW, background ENE, micro SSW. Call 596-SURF (4 updates)

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North Shore:

Down & dropping 13 sec NW. Sunset 3-4' occ 5', Rocky Pt. 2-4', Pipe 2-4+', Chuns 2-3 occ4' , Laniakea 2-3 occ 4', Ali'i 2-4'. Good shape, glassy dawn to clean offshore with light E trades filling and broken (60-90%) clouds.
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West:

Down & dropping 13 sec NW. Makaha is 2-3' with good form,glassy dawn to real clean light offshore E trades filling to moderate (5-15 mph); partly clear.
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Town:

Down & dropping 8 sec South. Surf is 0-1.5' mostly. Smooth glass but lulls & weak , calm to light E offshore filling from Bowls to Rock Piles to Kaisers... Threes-Pops-Queens 0-1.5' and decent weather. Box Jellys last day of peak.
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Diamond Head:

Down & Holding on the tiny south. Surf is 0-1.5 barely 2' with smooth dawn water to semi bumpy E sideoffshore trades from Lighthouse to Right hands, Cliffs etc. dry broken clouds.
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Sandy's:

Not much change. Holding the mix of wind + trace SSW. Surf is 1 barely 2' from Full Pt to 1/2 to Pipelittles. Also up to 2' around Middle peaks, Gas Chambers; light side-shores filling. Smooth to slightly bumpy with broken dry clouds.
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East Makapu'u:

Holding the small trade swell + NNE. Surf is 1-2' for the left side. Keiki's is seeing tiny 1-2' shore-break. Lite trade early. Typical chop coming with moderate onshore ENE trades filling and broken clouds.
Primo Beer 728×90 Generic

Weather

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
74°F
max: 89°F

Overcast

Wind:
13mph E

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
73°F
max: 90°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
18mph E

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 89°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph ENE

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
74°F
max: 90°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph E

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
74°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
13mph E

Range:
5-10mph E

Range:
5-15+mph E-NE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
10-20+mph E-NE
easing to light

North

Thursday
03/23
NW
Haw: 3-4+
Face: 5-7+
Dropping
5' 13sec; glassy am to clean offshore, mostly cloudy
Friday
03/24
NW
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Dropping
4' 12sec
Saturday
03/25
W-NW
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Rising
3' 11s to 5' 20s 2pm surf 6-8+
Sunday
03/26
W-NW
Haw: 10-15+
Face: 15-25+
Rising
11' 16s (warnings)
Monday
03/27
W-NW
Haw: 8-10+
Face: 12-18+
Dropping
9' 15s
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West

Thursday
03/23
NW
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Dropping
glassy to lite offshore, cloudy
Friday
03/24
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Dropping

Saturday
03/25
W-NW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Rising

Sunday
03/26
W-NW
Haw: 8-10+
Face: 12-18+
Rising

Monday
03/27
W-NW
Haw: 6-8+
Face: 10-15+
Dropping

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South

Thursday
03/23
S
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding
smooth, mostly cjoudy, Box Jellys last day
Friday
03/24
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising Later
1' 15 sec; low probability Box Jellys
Saturday
03/25
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising
1' 14s
Sunday
03/26
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Monday
03/27
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising
2' 15s
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east

Thursday
03/23
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding
3' 7sec; semi smooth to lite onshore; dry clouds
Friday
03/24
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Saturday
03/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Sunday
03/26
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Monday
03/27
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

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Current Swells:

Thursday   03/23
Primary: Dropping Slowly  W-NW  3-4+' surf at 13 sec
Secondary: Holding  E-NE  2' surf at 8 sec
Third: Holding  S  1.5' surf at 9 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Thursday   03/23
none thru Friday
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Sailing Report:

Thursday   03/23
Fair with calm to light E trades filling
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Diving Report:

Thursday   03/23
Good for deeper North and good for most deeper West spots, good for South, good for East dives.

Oahu

SUNSET
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 3-4+
Face: 5-7+
East Trades light
good

ROCKY POINT
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
East Trades light
good

Pipeline
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
East Trades light
good

HALEIWA
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 2-3 occ 4
Face: 3-5 occ 7
East Trades light
good

MAKAHA
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 1-3 occ +
Face: 2-5 occ +
East Trades very light
good
Seabrz later?
ALA MOANA
Thursday   03/23
S
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
East Trades very light
smooth

Waikiki
Thursday   03/23
S
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
East Trades light
clean

Diamond Head
Thursday   03/23
COMBO
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
East Trades light
slightly bumpy

Sandy Beach
Thursday   03/23
COMBO
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
East Trades light
fair to good

Makapuu
Thursday   03/23
E
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
East Trades light
fair to good

Maui

Hookipa
Thursday   03/23
NW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
East Trades light
fairly clean

Honolua
Thursday   03/23
NW
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
East Trades light
smooth

Kihei
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
East Trades light
smooth

Hana
Thursday   03/23
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
slightly bumpy

Lahaina
Thursday   03/23
COMBO
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Trades very light
smooth

Kauai

Hanalei
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 2-3 occ 4
Face: 3-5 occ 7
Trades light
good

Majors
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Trades light
smooth

Poipu
Thursday   03/23
S
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
East Trades very light
smooth

Kapaa
Thursday   03/23
E
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light
fair to good

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Thursday   03/23
E
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
fair to good

Kohala
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Trades light
smooth

Kohala
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades light-moderate
good

Kona
Thursday   03/23
W-NW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades light
good

Hilo
Thursday   03/23
E
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades very light
smooth

Kau
Thursday   03/23
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
good

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE Wednesday 3/22/17

NPAC
The Jet is energetic extending off Japan to just beyond the dateline (winds up to 210). She weakens this weekend but slowly extends beyond out Longitude. Also the large upper air current is overall low in latitude for this time at 25n-40n.
By Monday the 27th it’s consolidated off Japan again and by Tuesday its just out our side of the 180 dateline. A good sign for 2 weeks out.

#1
Recently, a super fun WNW hit 6’ solid Monday with fair-good side offshore fresh trades. It faded to 4’ Tuesday but was still really fun offshores for 1st day of spring. A broad big Low with some hurricane force pockets was centered near Kamchatka last Friday; she spun almost in place (occluded) for about a day. The almost 2400 mile distance limited the surf heights due to swell decay (~50% loss per 1000 miles).

#2
The storm that spawned the first event stalled and spun some new fetch for us March 17th just over 2000 miles off. it weakened Monday but not before generated some 5' deep water WNW @ 14 sec. it's hitting 3-5' mostly with top sets top spots reaching 6'. It's slowly fading alittle tonight into Saturday when the REAL DEAL kicks in.

#3
A winter caliber east tracking Low is progressing off Japan Tuesday (Spring) with winds up to 50kts. We’re expecting a build late Saturday with 20+ sec forerunners, peaking Sunday at 16sec w/t LARGE WNW surf big enough to crack select outer reefs at 15’; this meets the High Surf Warning Criteria (25’ crest to trough). Most spots will wash out. Sunset will have some ballzy takers for those 12’ inbetweeners. This Wintery episode drops slowly thru the day as it laughs at spring averages. Monday should still be above advrys at 8-10’.

#4
Last in the lineup: A decent storm following up in the wake of the above (now NE tracking) Low shows up this Sunday the 26th. This new 40kt storm is on the dateline with a very slow track and builds some 25+ seas but much of them pointing to our NE. Still it should be enough for a 6-8’+ NW Friday March 31st.


SPAC

A BIG high has been spinning over NZL
The Jet down under has been zonal, too (west to east) but things are looking up as a deepening Jet under NZL is lengthening with a ENE tilt. By Friday it’s weaker with 120 kts but points NNE right up the NZL coast where we like it. The Jet does look to be ‘steering’ a couple nice Lows our way to kick off the first official run of SSW in Spring.

#1
Recently, it’s been tiny 0-1.5’ background SSW and some West wrap to 2’ Monday. Super nice offshores tho’ it’s really small (there have been spotty 2’ sets here and there).

#2
Up next we get a warm up around Monday the 27th with some 15 sec S-SSW. But the storm only expected to build 1.5’ of swell by the time it gets here. This means only waist/shoulder high on average into Tuesday as it fades. The fetch 1000 miles east of NZL was pointing to SE of us (off to the Americas) so it wasn’t maximized.

#3
Up next, the main one. Wed the 27th has a low SE of NZL with a more typical NE track. It gets supported by another faster moving Low and they merge Thursday/Friday the 24th. Seas hit 28’ and some following fetch is predicted to bring 16 sec SSW surf up to 3’ Thursday 23 and peak Friday at just above 3’ or 1’ overhead at focal reefs. Even Saturday should have a few sets this size at 14sec.

#4
Last in the lineup…. An ENE tracking Low in the same region 600+ miles SE of NZL is on the charts Monday the 27th. If all goes well, we’ll see some 3’ surf from the SSW Tuesday April 4th veering to South by Wednesday as it moves under French Polynesia.

Trade Swell
Below average with minimal 2’ with occas NE pulses. Nothing significant is on the models yet.

The Tropics
So far they’re nothing forecast on Hawaii for the next week.




Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)

Surfer's Wall Photos

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