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Surf n Sea

645am OBs Wednesday 3/1 Powered by UsedSurfboardsHawaii.com

Marine warnings, Flash Flood Warnings, Stormy, Heavy Rain, gusty winds ranging from E to South 15-35. Worst of it today.

Tiny NW, and small NE, ENE trade & trace SSW. Call 596-SURF (4 updates)

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North Shore:

Brown Water all over the NS. Holding 14 sec NW. Down & dropping 11 sec NNW, trace of NNE. Surf averaging 1-2+' with smooth side-offshore South winds. Sunset is 1-2+', Rocky Pt. 1-2+ Pipe 2+', weak, Chuns 2+' Laniakea 2+', Ali'i is 2'; terrible, heavy clouds/rain.
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West:

Down & dropping NNW+South. Makaha is up to 2' bad chop onshore, isolated brown water and tons o' rain & clouds.
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Town:

Up and Holding 13 sec SSW and Kona wind swell. Surf is 1-2' crap, tattered from Bowls to Rock Piles to Kaisers... Threes-Pops-Queens mostly up to 1.5'; cloudy, rain and dirty.
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Diamond Head:

Up and Holding SSW and wind swell. Surf is 1-2' and blown to bits. onshore from Lighthouse to Right hands, Cliffs etc; rain, clouds.
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Sandy's:

Down & dropping NNE and trade and up on SSW swell. Surf is 1-2-3' but poor, choppy from Full Pt to 1/2 & through Middle peaks to Gas Chambers; rainy, cloudy.
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East Makapu'u:

Down a hair & Holding the 11 sec NNE 3' & trade swell. Surf is 2-3+' for the whole bay with strong gusty E winds veering SE so it's bumpy; cloudy and rainy.
Primo Beer 728×90 Generic

Weather

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 83°F

Thunderstorm

Wind:
18mph S

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 86°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
13mph SW

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
73°F
max: 89°F

Clear

Wind:
8mph S

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 89°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
13mph SW

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 87°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
8mph WSW

Range:
15-25+mph S
winds vary from E to S
Range:
5-10mph SW
to variable to seabrez midday
Range:
5-10mph S
to variable to seabrez midday
Range:
10-20mph S

Range:
5-10mph Light/Var

North

Wednesday
03/01
NW+NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Holding
2' 14 sec; bumpy, dirty brown; flooding, skip it
Thursday
03/02
NW+NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping
2' 11s
Friday
03/03
COMBO
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Dropping
2' 10s
Saturday
03/04
COMBO
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Rising Evening
WNW 5' 16s 9pm
Sunday
03/05
W-NW
Haw: 5-7
Face: 8-12
Holding
Downgraded, 7' 12s
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West

Wednesday
03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding
terrible, bumpy side onshore, cloudy, rainy
Thursday
03/02
COMBO
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Dropping

Friday
03/03
COMBO
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Dropping

Saturday
03/04
W-NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Rising Evening

Sunday
03/05
W-NW
Haw: 3-5+
Face: 5-9+
Holding

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South

Wednesday
03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Rising
Brown water; very bumpy onshore, rainy, cloudy
Thursday
03/02
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising
1' 15s
Friday
03/03
S-SE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Dropping Slowly
1' 14s
Saturday
03/04
S-SE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Dropping Slowly

Sunday
03/05
S-SE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Dropping

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east

Wednesday
03/01
ENE+NNE
Haw: 1-3 occ +
Face: 2-5 occ +
Holding
bumpy; cloudy, rainy
Thursday
03/02
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Dropping

Friday
03/03
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Saturday
03/04
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Sunday
03/05
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

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Current Swells:

Wednesday   03/01
Primary: Holding  NW  barely 3' surf at 13s
Secondary: Dropping Slowly  N-NE  3' surf at 10 sec
Third: Holding  E-NE  1-2' surf at 8 sec + S wind swell
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Marine Warnings:

Wednesday   03/01
Marine and Flash Flood Warnings and small craft adv. + Brown water adv.
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Sailing Report:

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Diving Report:

Wednesday   03/01
POOR, bad as it gets.... for deeper North, West, East, South. stay out of brown water.

Oahu

SUNSET
Wednesday   03/01
NW+NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Kona South
poor

ROCKY POINT
Wednesday   03/01
NW+NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Kona South
poor

Pipeline
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Kona South
bumpy

HALEIWA
Wednesday   03/01
NW+NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Kona South
smooth

MAKAHA
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Kona South
disorganized and ugly

ALA MOANA
Wednesday   03/01
SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Kona South
sloppy and choppy

Waikiki
Wednesday   03/01
SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Kona South
rainy, stormy

Diamond Head
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Kona South
poor

Sandy Beach
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Kona South
bumpy

Makapuu
Wednesday   03/01
ENE+NNE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
East Trades moderate-strong
bumpy
veering ESE sideoff

Maui

Honolua
Wednesday   03/01
N
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Kona South
fair to good

Kihei
Wednesday   03/01
S
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Kona South
fair to good

Hana
Wednesday   03/01
ENE+NNE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Kona South
good

Lahaina
Wednesday   03/01
SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Kona South
choppy

Kauai

Hanalei
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Kona South
poor

Majors
Wednesday   03/01
N-NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Kona South
disorganized and ugly

Poipu
Wednesday   03/01
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Kona South
poor

Kapaa
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Kona South
smooth

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Kona South
slightly bumpy

Kohala
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Kona South
slightly bumpy

Kona
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Kona South
blown out

Hilo
Wednesday   03/01
ENE+NNE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Kona South
smooth

Kau
Wednesday   03/01
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Kona South
bumpy

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE UPDATED Monday 2/27/17

NPAC
There’s a huge High encompassing the central to east pacific blocking the Jet. The Jet has been somewhat quite for Feb with plenty blocking High pressure lingering NW to ENE. The ridging has recently kept the Lows from getting closer for those warning levels events. This weekend into the upcoming workweek of the 27th the jet pushes hard and is decently consolidated nosing to just before the 180 dateline. By Sunday the 5th of March this large upper air current goes from Japan to our longitude but the strongest 180kt winds are still 1500 miles off.

#1 Recently, we had some fun 5-7’ average NW surf at 15 sec. Saturday and trades were lite tho’ from the NE tilt. The Low was large and wintery with 30’ seas but stayed up near the Kurils where it occluded some before sliding toward the west Aleutians. This allowed for a wide long fetch and thus a longer than normal run of surf. Sunday should still have the isolated 6’ sets but most spots will see 3-5’.
NOTE #2: the storm had some reinforcing fetch the WW3 missed. The surf veered NNW and jacked 5-7' for top spots Monday morning.

#3 is a NNE swell Sunday nite of 5’ open ocean at 12 sec. This should pump up 'prime refracting' reefs to near 5’ on Monday with many spots only hitting 3’. The system spun Sunday about 1000 miles to our NNE sending plenty of its energy to our NW.

#4 We might see a small 3’ hopefully higher spring-like WNW Tuesday. The complex storm was near the Kurils Friday the 24th with a NE track and short distant fetch on its west flank. It will drop to barely 3’ Wednesday…

#4 Last in the line up:
We have to wait a few days before the next real swell and chances improved for the adv level event to occur.
Model hint of a system spawning on the dateline only 1200 miles to our NW Friday the 3rd. It’s ‘acting up’ with a North track toward the west Aleutians. Still, a gale fetch on its West flank nears to under 500 miles from us. The proximity may allow for some size if the Low performs. The WNW swell's period should be 14sec and surf should build second half of Saturday March 4th. Surf may reach 4’ for the eve sesh. Then pending model fantasy fulfillment surf could peak at almost 10’ Sunday with 7’ surf Monday.
After this it looks like only one real NNW on Friday the 10th then only short period surf into mid-march.

SPAC
The Jet down under is not doing much until our last days of Feb. Then the southern branch consolidates from under Australia to over 600 miles east of NZL. It weaken but regroups by Friday the 3rd. Sure enough, this proves to help create a couple out of season south swells.

Recently, it’s been lame. 0-1.5’ with maybe a couple trade wrap days of 2’.

Up first, an ENE tracking gale Low far to the east of NZL gathers strength Tuesday the 28th.
Models suggest just over 1’ of 15 sec South swell to reach us Tuesday the 7th. We will likely see solid 2’ sets from the S to SSW peak Wed. the 8th.

Last but not least, #2: A powerful Austral winter caliber storm with over 30’ is tracking East under the Taz Thursday March 2nd. When it reaches the SE of NZL Sat. the 4th it has a NE track with a captured fetch. Models may even stick by the potential for reinforcement Sunday March 5th.
If all goes well, 18sec forerunners pop early March 10th and Saturday should have 3’ surf at 16sec from the SSW. This size will linger Sunday and Monday with a chance of 1’ overhead at top reefs.

Trade Swell
#1 Trade Wind and NE swell has been fairly strong until this weekend of the 25th. Winds weakened and periods lowered to 8 sec. Monday nite, Winds get a SE-S flow into Thursday perfect for NW shores. Still some close upstream east trades keep us at 2’ minimum. The atmosphere will trend toward unstable on Monday from a mid to upper level trough edging closer to the islands. High clouds and deep tropical moisture will approach from the south. Moist, unstable conditions prevail Tuesday into Wednesday, raising the possibility of flash flooding.

The Tropics
So far they’re nothing forecasted on Hawaii for the next week or so.




Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)

Surfer's Wall Photos

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