Sunday, January 29, 2012 596-SURF , 596-WAVE , 922-BONG , 638-RUSH , 572-SURF(MAUI) , 241-SURF (KAUAI) , 324-RUSH (BIG ISLAND)
   
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OFF 1030am. 8-12 occ 15' NW winter surf for Saturday, day one of the Volcom Pipe Pro
Above:A 15' 2nd Reef set mows over the guys inside 9am on Saturday 1.28.12
It's going to be ludicrous on day one with some sets washing through. We wish competitors a safe day.
One month after the 2011 ASP World Tour wrapped up at the Pipe Masters, the Volcom Pipe Pro now signals the start of the new 2012 season for those with a goal of qualifying for surfing's elite professional ranks.Defending event champion John John Florence will head the field, joined by top international talent Josh Kerr (Australia), Bruce Irons (Hawaii, wildcard), Kolohe Andino (California), Tanner & Dane Gudauskas (California), Wiggolly Dantas (Brazil), Joan Duru (France), Balaram Stack (New York), and Hawaii chargers Ian Walsh, Dusty Payne, and Jamie O'Brien. GO LIVE HERE  
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Hawaii's Leila Hurst and Caio Ibelli (BRA) Claim ASP World Junior Titles At The Billabong World Junior Championships 1.28.12
BURLEIGH HEADS, Queensland/Australia (Saturday, 28 January, 2012) – Caio Ibelli (BRA) and Leila Hurst (HAW) have claimed the Men’s and Women’s ASP World Junior Titles at the Billabong World Junior Championships today. The pair join a prestigious list of former ASP World Junior Champions, including: Adriano De Souza (BRA), Joel Parkinson (AUS), Andy Irons (HAW), Jessi Miley-Dyer (AUS) and Sally Fitzgibbons (AUS). Wade Carmichael (AUS) and Alessa Quizon (HAW) were also amongst the winners today, taking out the third and final event of the ASP World Junior Title Series, the Billabong ASP World Junior Championships.
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Hawaii's Alessa Quizon wins of the Billabong World Junior Championship in Australia 1.28.12
Caio Ibelli and Leila Hurst have taken the ASP World Junior titles at the Billabong World Junior Championships, in the Gold Coast, Australia. The Men’s ASP World Junior Title race saw all the frontrunners bow out early today with Jack Freestone eliminated by Medi Veminardi and Ian Gouveia taken out by Wade Carmichael in the Quarterfinals.Carmichael had a sensational outing at Burleigh Heads this week, gaining entry into the event with a win at the Von Zipper trials and then sticking it to the world’s best junior surfers with a win at the Billabong ASP World Junior Championships.
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North Shore surfing beaches get new safety tips

The North Shore Lifeguard Association has published a surf safety poster with the most important safety tips for both visitors and residents. The design and graphic layout were done by Pat Kelly, Rick Williams and John Bain and feature several instructions about the rip currents of the four most popular surfing beaches of the North Shore: Haleiwa, Waimea Bay, Pipeline and Sunset Beach. The surf safety poster is now available to local merchants, realtors and individuals who share our interest in ocean safety education. You can read the entire information at www.northshorelifeguards.com
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Jamie O'Brien goes surfing with two boards
Jamie O'Brien goes surfing with two boards
Jamie O'Brien believes there's always something new to doin modern surfing. The creative Hawaiian icon decided to go surfing with two boards. No, it's not one surfboard for each foot. That would be wave skiing. O'Brien decided to test a two-board transfer while preparing to get barreled. "I just think that the best surfer out there is the one having the most fun. Sometimes I see too much seriousness in the lineup. I'm trying to do something I've never done before, something different. I like a challenge"
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Congratulations HIC! Hawaiian Island Creations, is now in Kahului at the Maui Mall.
“Hawaii’s biggest and best selection of surf gear, Hawaiian Island Creations, is now in Kahului at the Maui Mall. Don’t miss the Grand Opening Event this Saturday, January 28th, 10 am to 5 pm, with plenty of Free Prizes, great entertainment and killer deals in store.
The 2011 “Best of Maui” award winners, The Throwdowns, will be rocking HIC Maui Mall with live music starting at 3 pm. Enter To Win a GoPro HD Hero Camera, or a $100 HIC Gift Card. Plus, get a FREE HIC T-shirt with any purchase of $30 or more, all day long.
HIC Maui Mall...enjoy the ride!” Now there's 10 stores to keep you stoked and in the lineup! Read the HIC story
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Big upsets at Billabong World Jr Surfing Champs
Jack Freestone © ASP / Dunbar Billabong World Junior Surfing Championships. Event 3 of 3, ASP World Jnr Tour. Burleigh Heads, Gold Coast, Australia. 21 - 29 January 2012 The Billabong World Junior Surfing Championships roll through Round 3...only one Hawaiian and one USA left
  Surfersvillage Global Surf News, 26 January, 2012 : - - Burleigh Heads -- The Australian surfers have been buoyed by their national holiday, Australia Day at the Billabong World Junior Championships Gold Coast today. ASP World Junior Title contenders Jack Freestone (AUS) and Garrett Parkes (AUS) both posted big scores to advance to the next round. While trials winner Wade Carmichael (AUS) did them a huge favour by eliminating the current ASP World Junior number 1 rated surfer, Caio Ibelli (BRA). There's a multitude of scenarios that could play out in the ASP World Junior Title race with 6 contenders still in the running, including the eliminated Ibelli.
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The forecast is good to say the least...check the video presentation of the Local Swell Tracker
The forecast is good to say the least...check the video presentation of the Local Swell Tracker
the what when and why of our waves winds and weather
BIG SURF PICTURE  Tuesday 1/24/12 NPAC: the Jet is set up in a winter pattern (low, consolidated and stretching past the dateline) allowing for storms to be enhanced and steered to longitudes near Hawaii; its also affecting our winds and weather patterns with a cycle between lite variables/Konas to regular Trades. Currently...Late today Tuesday we'll see some double over head NW with 14 seconds peaking Wednesday to just below advsry level 5-7’ NW from a severe gale that spawned our side of the dateline just 1000 miles away Sunday/Monday and tracking quickly ENE into Alaska as it intensifies.
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Ezekial Lau & Briana Cope win the North Shore Surfshop Pro Junior Saturday in solid 6' NW
Sunset Beach © Joli The North Shore Surf Shop Pro Junior Went Off SNN News, 23 January, 2012 : - - North Shore, Oahu -- The inaugural North Shore Surf Shop 4* ASP Pro Junior, lived up to the hype of being one the 2012’s best events on the schedule. Sunset Beach which is located in the heart of surfing’s Mecca, delivered epic 4-8 foot surf over the three day competition window. Competitors were graced by Mother Nature with clean swells out of the North-Westerly direction which were the perfect platform for the under 21 competitors.
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Rihanna has gone surfing in Hawaii...
Rihanna has gone surfing in Hawaii. Well, at least, she tried. The Barbadian recording artist decided to hit the warm waters of the Pacific islands to show off her great figure and new black G-string bikini. The singer picked a big stand-up paddle board, but was not seen riding 20-foot waves. She decided to tan on the top of the big surfboard, while the paparazzi photographed her. Rihanna, the newest surfing celebrity, kept floating along in the ocean and applied sun cream to protect her from the sun rays. She didn't bring her umbrella, though.
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Jason Polakow enjoys 30-foot waves at Jaws El Niño and La Niña have joined forces to deliver less quality waves to the Hawaiian Islands, this winter. The result is fewer large weather systems resulting in fewer large ground swells. The upside of La Niña is more wind and that means two ideas: windsurfing and Jason Polakow. "I have never seen such a windy December in all the years I have been here. With the La Nina taking a strong hold on the Pacific I was happily surprised when I saw the maps indicating that there was a Jaws size swell in the pipeline", explains Polakow. Surfer packed up their quiver from all around the world and traveled to Hawaii. It was big time showdown. Polakow hired a boat to put all the equipment and food on board. Also, he set up a wet suit made with a CO2 canister and air bladder built into the back of the suit so that if he got into real trouble, he would spend less time underwater. Read the Full Story
Expedition White Shark: Tracking the Beast of the Deep
Expedition White Shark: Tracking the Beast of the Deep
Surf News, 20 January, 2012 : - - Expedition White Shark is the world's very first app that tracks sharks that have custom satellite tags attached to their dorsal fins. As a shark reaches the surface it is geo-located by satellites. The app also shows attacks that have been attributed to the Great White shark.
The chances of being attacked by a shark are super slim. Still, an app that gives a heads up of recent shark activity at the beaches is helpful, even if it does feed shark-attack paranoia. The app includes photos and videos of sharks and a game. 
Read the Full Story
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Surf Summary & News Breaks

SNN SURF CENTER
CHIEF SURFING OFFICER: GARY KEWLEY
YOUR EXCLUSIVE 645AM OBZ: WEDNESDAY  11-30-11
VANS WORLD CUP Day 4 is OFF at Sunset! The call to postpone was made at 1115am due to slow inconsistent rising surf in the 2-3+ range. Buoys popped last nite to 5' 15 seconds (good enough for 5' by this afternoon). Call the SNN-VTC hotline 596SURF for the status.
NEW SNN: just in case you missed it...O'ahu, Kauai, Maui, Big Is. Observations are in the name Tabs above the 5 day forecast...just clk 'em. Tides are right below. Plus, the 5th Day in the surf grid has liner notes for 6-12 day forecasts.
Cool 10-20kt ENE-NE Trades with partly clear skies.
COUNTRY: The new NW is filling in right now up to 1-2 occ 3' at sunset beach with clean light offshores; we expect 3-5' later in the day. WEST: Makaha is rising at 0-2' on NNW and lite offshores; TOWN: holding pinch of tiny 0-1' barely occas 2' SSW+SSE at 14 seconds; it's clean with lite E-NE trades. Diamond Head: holding with weak SSW+SSE at a fairly clean 0-1-2' lite sideoffshores. SANDYS: down on the NNE swell plus windwaves @ decent 1-2+' and cool NE offshores. MAKAPU'U: down on  NNE + Trade swells breaking across the Bay mostly on the inside 2-3' and semi choppy.
Sidenote: A silght downgrade on the next 2 episodes but still really good 'sorted out' NW on Wednesday 4-5' late in the afternoon and  the next episode peaks 8-10+' Thursday by around 10am into Friday morning! A potentially very large 12' + NW on late Dec 8 or 9 (hit the BIG PICTURE link above for details)
Call VTC-SNN hotline at 596-SURF for status at around 645am for the VANS World Cup at Sunset Beach.
Watch it LIVE- then over and over again- on Oceanic 250.

SNN CHIEF SURFING OFFICER: GARY KEWLEY

Your Exclusive 6:45am OBZ: and the surf scene for Aloha Saturday  1/28/12

1030am Newsbreak...

Volcom Pipe Pro Off as of 1030am today due to hazardous washed out  10-12 and 15' sets on the 2nd reef. Tomorrow will be 6-10' and perfect.  Online, Oceanic 250 or face to face.

Town has dropped from its 3' peak Friday. See Kaisers and Ala Moana Cams.

Trade Winds are back; Partly clear

Country:Way up and rising on the new NW at 8-12' occ 15' outside at 18 seconds over riding the 5' N swell with 10 seconds; Sunset has solid 8-12 occ 15' sets out there and same for Pipe too; super clean offshores.  Volcom Pipeline Pro will score Sunday (Monday,Tuesday and maybe even Wednesday will be closed out or too big.  WEST: Up and still rising at Makaha at 6-8+' and early glass. TOWN:  Down a pinch but holding 1-2 occ near 3';  Same for Diamond Head:  holding and better now 1-2' and some near 3' (chest/head).  SANDYS: 1-2' with some near 3' from Full Pt into Shorey on the N and SE mix and better now.  EAST: MAKAPU'U;Up on new N and remnant Trade swell at 1-2+' and lite onshores.

Surf News: Much Mahalos to Surfer, the Bar at Turtle Bay for Wednesday evening.  Timmy Curran and other young local musical talent (plus our server) were on it!

Congrads to HIC Surf on their grand opening on Maui for their 10th store! Keep on Enjoying the Ride!

 

 

 

Surf Report

Surf

North
Sat '01/28'
Rising - NW
HAW: 10-12+
FACE: 15-20+
OCCAS. 15'
Sun '01/29'
Dropping - NW
HAW: 6-8+
FACE: 8-15+
Mon '01/30'
Rising - NW
HAW: 10-15+
FACE: 15-25+
18-20 SECOND;WARNINGS
Tue '01/31'
Holding - NW
HAW: 10-15+
FACE: 15-25+
18 SECOND;WARNINGS
Wed '02/01'
Dropping - NW
HAW: 6-10
FACE: 8-15+
Haleiwa
Sat '01/28'
Time
Ht.
H 5:53 AM 1.1 ft.
L 11:42 AM 0 ft.
H 7:41 PM 1 ft.
---
Sunrise: 7:09 AM
Sunset: 6:19 PM
Sun '01/29'
Time
Ht.
L 12:14 AM 0.6 ft.
H 6:23 AM 0.9 ft.
L 12:18 PM 0.1 ft.
H 8:53 PM 1.1 ft.
Sunrise: 7:09 AM
Sunset: 6:20 PM
Mon '01/30'
Time
Ht.
L 2:10 AM 0.6 ft.
H 6:58 AM 0.7 ft.
L 1:01 PM 0.1 ft.
H 10:04 PM 1.2 ft.
Sunrise: 7:09 AM
Sunset: 6:20 PM
Tue '01/31'
Time
Ht.
L 4:34 AM 0.6 ft.
H 7:55 AM 0.6 ft.
L 1:53 PM 0.1 ft.
H 11:05 PM 1.3 ft.
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset: 6:21 PM
Wed '02/01'
Time
Ht.
L 5:51 AM 0.4 ft.
H 9:39 AM 0.5 ft.
L 2:51 PM 0 ft.
H 11:55 PM 1.4 ft.
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset: 6:21 PM

West
Rising - NW
HAW: 6-8+
FACE: 8-15+
Dropping - NW
HAW: 4-6+
FACE: 6-10+
Rising - NW
HAW: 8-12
FACE: 10-20
HOLDING TUESDAY!
Holding - NW
HAW: 8-12
FACE: 10-20
10' WEDNESDAY
Dropping - NW
HAW: 4-6+
FACE: 6-10+

South
Holding - SW+SE
HAW: 0-2
FACE: 0-3
Dropping - S-SW
HAW: 0-1.5
FACE: 0-2
Dropping - S-SW
HAW: 1-2
FACE: 1-3
isolated NW wrap?
Holding - S-SW
HAW: 0-2
FACE: 0-3
ISOLATED NW WRAP
Dropping - S-SW
HAW: 0-1.5
FACE: 0-2
Honolulu Harbor
Sat '01/28'
Time
Ht.
L 1:03 AM 0.5 ft.
H 6:55 AM 1.3 ft.
L 1:47 PM 0 ft.
H 8:43 PM 1.3 ft.
Sunrise: 7:09 AM
Sunset: 6:19 PM
Sun '01/29'
Time
Ht.
L 2:19 AM 0.7 ft.
H 7:25 AM 1.1 ft.
L 2:23 PM 0.1 ft.
H 9:55 PM 1.3 ft.
Sunrise: 7:09 AM
Sunset: 6:20 PM
Mon '01/30'
Time
Ht.
L 4:15 AM 0.8 ft.
H 8:00 AM 0.9 ft.
L 3:06 PM 0.1 ft.
H 11:06 PM 1.5 ft.
Sunrise: 7:09 AM
Sunset: 6:20 PM
Tue '01/31'
Time
Ht.
L 6:39 AM 0.7 ft.
H 8:57 AM 0.7 ft.
L 3:58 PM 0.1 ft.
---
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset: 6:21 PM
Wed '02/01'
Time
Ht.
H 12:07 AM 1.6 ft.
L 7:56 AM 0.5 ft.
H 10:41 AM 0.6 ft.
L 4:56 PM 0 ft.
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset: 6:21 PM

East
Holding - ENE+N
HAW: 1-2+
FACE: 1-3+
ISO WRAP
Rising - ENE+N
HAW: 1-3
FACE: 2-5
Holding - E-NE
HAW: 1-3+
FACE: 2-5+
Holding - ENE+N
HAW: 2-3
FACE: 3-5
Holding - ENE+N
HAW: 2-3
FACE: 3-5

Winds
Hawaii
Sat '01/28'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-20
Sun '01/29'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-25
High Surf,Small Craft
Mon '01/30'
ENE+N
Mph: 10-25
SMALL CRAFT & HI SURF WARNING
Tue '01/31'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-25
SMALL CRAFT & HI SURF WARNING
Wed '02/01'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-25

Current Swells

Sat '01/28'
Primary : NW / Rising , 8-12' OCC 15'
Secondary : E-NE / Rising , 1-3'
Third : S-SE / Holding , 1-2'

Marine Warnings

Sat '01/28'
Hawaii : HIGH SURF ADVISORIES FOR NW FACING SHORES AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

Sailing Report

Sat '01/28'
Hawaii : TRADES RETURN...GOOD CONDITIONS BUT A LIL BUMPY DUE TO NW SWELL

Diving Report

Sat '01/28'
Hawaii : POOR FOR NORTH AND WEST SHORES. FAIR OUT EAST WITH SOME WRAP. GOOD FOR SOUTH SHORES

Oahu

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Oahu - Sunset NW 10- to 12-feet, occ. 15 feet 3x to 4x Overhead occ. 5x Overhead (WARNING LEVEL) Trades excellent RISING

Oahu - Pipeline NW 8- to 10-feet, occ. 12 feet 3x to Occ. 4x Overhead Trades glassy VPP DAY1 IS ON!

Oahu - Rocky Point NW 10- to 12-feet, occ. 15 feet 3x to 4x Overhead occ. 5x Overhead (WARNING LEVEL) Trades clean

Oahu - Haleiwa NW 8- to 10-feet, occ. 12 feet 3x to Occ. 4x Overhead Trades good

Oahu - Makaha NW 4- to 6-feet, occ. 8 feet Overhead to Double Overhd occ. near Triple Overhd Trades good RISING

Oahu - Ala Moana S-SE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades good

Oahu - Waikiki S-SE Flat- to 2-feet 0 to Waist Trades fair

Oahu - Diamond Head S-SE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades fairly clean

Oahu - Sandy Beach S+N 1- to 2-feet, occ. 3 feet Knee to Waist occ. Head Trades clean

Oahu - Makapuu ENE+N 1- to 2-feet, occ. 3 feet Knee to Waist occ. Head Trades smooth

Maui

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Maui - North-Hookipa area NW 6- to 10-feet 2x to more than 3x Overhead Trades semi-clean JAWS?

Maui - Upper West - Honolua NW 4- to 6-feet 1-2 ft. Overhead to Double Overhead Trades smooth

Maui - Lower West - Lahaina S-SE Flat- to 1 1/2-feet 0 to Thigh Trades fairly clean

Maui - South - Kihei S-SE Flat 0 to Flat Trades smooth

Maui - East - Hana ENE+N 2- to 3-feet Waist to Head Trades smooth

Kauai

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Kauai - North - Hanalei NW 8- to 10-feet, occ. 12 feet 3x to Occ. 4x Overhead Trades glassy

Kauai - West - Majors NW 4- to 6-feet, occ. 8 feet Overhead to Double Overhd occ. near Triple Overhd Trades smooth

Kauai - South - Poipu S-SE Flat- to 2-feet 0 to Waist Trades smooth

Kauai - East - Kapaa ENE+N 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades smooth

Big Island

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Big Isl. - North - Hamakua Coast E+N 2- to 3-feet, occ. larger sets Waist to Head occ. + Trades good wrap later

Big Isl. - North West - Kohala N Flat- to 1 foot 0 to Knee Trades diving , paddling and fishin'

Big Isl. - South West - Kona Coast S-SE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades clean

Big Isl. - East - Hilo Coast E-NE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades good

Big Isl. - SE to S Puna, Ka u Coasts MIX 1- to 2-feet, occ. 3 feet Knee to Waist occ. Head Trades good

BIG SURF PICTURE 

Friday 1/27/12

NPAC: the Jet is set up in a winter pattern  (low, consolidated and stretching past the dateline) allowing for storms to be enhanced and steered to longitudes near Hawaii; its also affecting our winds and weather patterns with a cycle between lite variables/Konas to regular Trades.

Currently: The triple over head NW with 14 seconds peaked Wednesday to advsry levels  5-8+’ NW from a severe gale that spawned our side of the dateline just 1000 miles away Sunday/Monday and tracking quickly ENE into Alaska. The intensification of the last Low leads to  4’  N swell Friday; its a gale (35-40kt) fetch created by the aforementioned low as it move into the gulf; the storm’s winds pointing our way in the 350-360 band for a day.

Next: We're on track. An upgraded severe gale Storm far off Japan spawned Wednesday 1/25 tracking east with a captured fetch (read below) Wed-Thursday; it crossed the dateline 1200 miles to the west by Thursday with some 30+' seas and will bump us up to 8-12’ solid with some higher sets possible from the NW this Saturday around noon; with Trades returning Friday nite so conditions will be perfect for Volcom.

Last: 3 major Upgrades on  pair of Lows appear near the dateline Friday/Sunday with an east then ENE track up into the east Aleutians thru Sunday. They merge, occlude and grow to a huge severe  gale to near hurricane surface Low with 35' seas with weather filling much of the WPAC as it slowly begins east; this leads to an Xtra large 10-15' and even occas. 18' sets on the outer reefs with 20 sec forerunners early Monday 1/30; the angle is' WNW peaking Monday but lasting over 10-15' Tuesday since the Low stalled. Big&Beautiful finish to twenty twleve's 1st month.

There's more a few days after this and the NPAC winter wave machine works its magic.

SPAC: Dying SSE wind swell from the Kona pattern plus some SSE from an more distant source but all was ruined by the onshores most the time. There's no sources worth claiming TFN.

East or Windward: We have 3' N wrap to best exposures. Our 2 windswell and trades are outta here till Saturday when trades return. We do get some N-NNE swell of maybe 3 or 4' this week to isolated reefs. The rotating pattern between trades and Konas or Variables will continue with the nearby tracking Lows. Such winter patterns mean occas. N swells to wrap in with the off and on wind swell. Ranges should remain in the 2-4’ range. Read daily OB’s or call 596-SURF.


FETCH: often called the fetch length, is a term for the length of water or distance over which a given wind direction has blown. Fetch length along with the wind speed (or strength) determines the size of waves produced. The longer the fetch length and the faster the wind speed, the larger and stronger the wave will be and vice versa.
CAPTURED or FOLLOWING FETCH: Not only does the fetch length determine the power and energy of the wave. Additionally, if the winds/fetch are blowing in the same direction as during the wave's or storm's lifetime, the wave will in turn be even stronger. The fetch is related to the orbit of the wave and track of the storm.The longer the wind drags along the sea the more energy the wave will have. This can be seen not just in vertical height measurement but in wave period (the measurement of waves through time).
WAVES PERIOD:Time, in seconds, between the passage of consecutive wave crests past a fixed point. In general the longer the period the bigger the wave. Windswell or 'close interval' swells are under 10 seconds. Big 'ground swells' are 17-20+ seconds (note: a 20+ second swell needs storm force 50+kt winds blowing over a 1500 mile fetch to be fully developed' into 20-25' beasts; these 20 second waves can be felt 1000 feet down!). This is why they jack so much more, pulling large amounts of H2O off the outer reefs.

For more generic marine definitions click this link  http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/marinedef.php

WW3 OUTPUT FORECAST& BUOY QUICK LINKS


 

 

444 AM HST SAT JAN 28 2012

SYNOPSIS...
 AS TRADE WINDS RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND...THEY WILL BRING A FEW 
SHOWERS TO WINDWARD SLOPES...BUT CONDITIONS WILL STAY ON THE DRY
SIDE OF USUAL. TRADE WIND CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT LEAST THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN A WEAK FRONT MAY APPROACH CLOSE
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A PERIOD OF LIGHTER WINDS.
 .DISCUSSION...
THE LAST VESTIGES OF A FRONT DISSIPATED ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE
STATE AS SURFACE RIDGING REBUILT TO THE NORTHEAST. WINDS REMAINED
QUITE LIGHT UNDER THE NOCTURNALLY STRENGTHENED INVERSION...BUT
PRESSURE TRENDS ARGUED STRONGLY THAT THE CALM WOULD NOT LAST...
ESPECIALLY WITH PLENTY OF MOMENTUM VISIBLE ABOVE THE INVERSION IN
THE 12Z LIHUE SOUNDING. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT HAD
DIMINISHED SUBSTANTIALLY...AND LAND BREEZES KEPT MOST OF WHAT
REMAINED OFFSHORE...BUT SHALLOW CONVECTION CONTINUED ALONG LINES OF
CONVERGENCE IN THE PREVAILING FLOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

ALOFT...WHILE SOME WEAKNESS WAS PRESENT TO THE SOUTHEAST...A BROAD
RIDGE EXPANDED OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FROM THE WEST.
GUIDANCE AGREED QUITE WELL THAT THIS RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
ISLANDS INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

AT THE SURFACE...ONCE THE FULLY REINSTATED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH REBUILDS THE TRADE WINDS...SOME OROGRAPHIC RAINFALL IS LIKELY
ALONG WINDWARD SLOPES. HOWEVER...SATELLITE ESTIMATES AND MODEL
PREDICTIONS OF PRECIPITABLE WATER UPWIND WERE SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW
CLIMATOLOGY...AND SUBSIDENCE HAD LOWERED THE INVERSION QUITE A BIT
TOO...SO ACCUMULATION SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE THROUGH MOST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY...GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE SHALLOW TROUGHING
ALOFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL MERGE WITH A DIGGING TROUGH TO THE
NORTHEAST...WHILE ANOTHER WEAK FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHEAST
AT THE SURFACE. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE DEVELOPING TROUGH TO THE
EAST...AN EXTENSION OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
ISLANDS THEMSELVES...AND MODELS PREDICT THE FRONT TO LOSE MOST OF
ITS STRENGTH BEFORE EVEN APPROACHING THE STATE. THUS...THE MAIN
PRACTICAL EFFECT MAY BE LIMITED TO A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE TRADES
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF FROM A NORTHWEST SWELL COULD APPROACH HEIGHTS OF 20 FEET ON
KAUAI BY THIS AFTERNOON...SO A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
EXPOSED PARTS OF THE STATE. A LARGER NORTHWEST SWELL MAY PRODUCE
WARNING-LEVEL SURF ON MONDAY FOR NORTH AND WEST SHORES.



Satellite Animations: (Click Here)    Wind & Cloud Cover Models: (Click Here)     Weather Terms Index: (Click Here)

SNN SURF CENTER
CHIEF SURFING OFFICER: GARY KEWLEY
YOUR EXCLUSIVE 645AM OBZ: WEDNESDAY  11-30-11
VANS WORLD CUP Day 4 is OFF at Sunset! The call to postpone was made at 1115am due to slow inconsistent rising surf in the 2-3+ range. Buoys popped last nite to 5' 15 seconds (good enough for 5' by this afternoon). Call the SNN-VTC hotline 596SURF for the status.
NEW SNN: just in case you missed it...O'ahu, Kauai, Maui, Big Is. Observations are in the name Tabs above the 5 day forecast...just clk 'em. Tides are right below. Plus, the 5th Day in the surf grid has liner notes for 6-12 day forecasts.
Cool 10-20kt ENE-NE Trades with partly clear skies.
COUNTRY: The new NW is filling in right now up to 1-2 occ 3' at sunset beach with clean light offshores; we expect 3-5' later in the day. WEST: Makaha is rising at 0-2' on NNW and lite offshores; TOWN: holding pinch of tiny 0-1' barely occas 2' SSW+SSE at 14 seconds; it's clean with lite E-NE trades. Diamond Head: holding with weak SSW+SSE at a fairly clean 0-1-2' lite sideoffshores. SANDYS: down on the NNE swell plus windwaves @ decent 1-2+' and cool NE offshores. MAKAPU'U: down on  NNE + Trade swells breaking across the Bay mostly on the inside 2-3' and semi choppy.
Sidenote: A silght downgrade on the next 2 episodes but still really good 'sorted out' NW on Wednesday 4-5' late in the afternoon and  the next episode peaks 8-10+' Thursday by around 10am into Friday morning! A potentially very large 12' + NW on late Dec 8 or 9 (hit the BIG PICTURE link above for details)
Call VTC-SNN hotline at 596-SURF for status at around 645am for the VANS World Cup at Sunset Beach.
Watch it LIVE- then over and over again- on Oceanic 250.

SNN CHIEF SURFING OFFICER: GARY KEWLEY

Your Exclusive 6:45am OBZ: and the surf scene for Aloha Saturday  1/28/12

1030am Newsbreak...

Volcom Pipe Pro Off as of 1030am today due to hazardous washed out  10-12 and 15' sets on the 2nd reef. Tomorrow will be 6-10' and perfect.  Online, Oceanic 250 or face to face.

Town has dropped from its 3' peak Friday. See Kaisers and Ala Moana Cams.

Trade Winds are back; Partly clear

Country:Way up and rising on the new NW at 8-12' occ 15' outside at 18 seconds over riding the 5' N swell with 10 seconds; Sunset has solid 8-12 occ 15' sets out there and same for Pipe too; super clean offshores.  Volcom Pipeline Pro will score Sunday (Monday,Tuesday and maybe even Wednesday will be closed out or too big.  WEST: Up and still rising at Makaha at 6-8+' and early glass. TOWN:  Down a pinch but holding 1-2 occ near 3';  Same for Diamond Head:  holding and better now 1-2' and some near 3' (chest/head).  SANDYS: 1-2' with some near 3' from Full Pt into Shorey on the N and SE mix and better now.  EAST: MAKAPU'U;Up on new N and remnant Trade swell at 1-2+' and lite onshores.

Surf News: Much Mahalos to Surfer, the Bar at Turtle Bay for Wednesday evening.  Timmy Curran and other young local musical talent (plus our server) were on it!

Congrads to HIC Surf on their grand opening on Maui for their 10th store! Keep on Enjoying the Ride!

 

 

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