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645am Obs Wednesay 7/27 powered by Hans Hedemann Surf School Board Blow Out.

Partly clear skies, NE trades light to moderate filling to fresh. Brown Water Advsry from flooding & sewage spills. Small Craft adv for channels east of Molokai.

Small Trade & SSW swells hold. Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF 7a, 12, 3, 5p

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North Shore:

Still Brown water run off. Down and dropping on a 8 sec NE swell. Surf is 0-1/2' only for select reefs and smooth with site offshores. Sunset 0-1/2', Rockies Pt 0-1/2', Pipe is flat 0-0' Chuns 0-1/2, Laniakea 0-1', Haleiwa 0-0'. Light NE Trades and mostly cloudy; stay out of brown water zones.
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West:

Up and holding on a 15 sec SSW. Makaha is 0-1.5' breaking inside & on the reef. Select focusing reef sections seeing larger solid 2' sets. Fairly cloudy and watch for brown water advsry signs.
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Town:

Up and rholding on the 15 sec SSW. Surf is 1-2+' from Kewalos to Ala Moana to Kaisers (still fairly bad water). Smooth offshores with NE trades and partly clear skies. Carefull of Brown Water at select spots.
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Diamond Head:

Up and holding on the small SSW. Surf is small 1-2' with some 2.5' and inconsistent with some bumpy, chunky side-offshores from Right Hands, Cliffs to Lighthouse. Partly clear skies, sketchy water quality.
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Sandy's:

Up and holding on the SSW and faded 8 sec ENE trade. Surf is 2-3' occ higher from Full Pt - 1/2 point area, Pipe-littles 2-3+' from Middle Peaks-into the Chambers 2-3+'; nice, clean and partly clear.
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East Makapu'u:

Up and holding on the 8 sec ENE swell. Makapu'u is 1-2.5' maybe a plus set this afternoon with mushy onshores. Few sets breaking outside of Generals & moving across the bay. Surf is 1-2' max at Keiki's.Mostly cloudy with rain squals offshore.

Weather

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
76°F
max: 89°F

Mostly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
76°F
max: 89°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph ENE

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 87°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph NE

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 89°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
18mph ENE

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
76°F
max: 90°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
13mph ENE

Range:
15-30mph NE
small craft advsry all waters
Range:
15-30mph NE
small craft advsry all waters
Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
10-20mph E

Range:
5-15mph E-NE

North

Thursday
07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Friday
07/29
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Saturday
07/30
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Sunday
07/31
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Monday
08/01
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

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West

Thursday
07/28
SW+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 14 sec
Friday
07/29
SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising

Saturday
07/30
SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising

Sunday
07/31
SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Monday
08/01
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping

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South

Thursday
07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 15 sec
Friday
07/29
SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising Later

Saturday
07/30
SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising

Sunday
07/31
SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Monday
08/01
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

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east

Thursday
07/28
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Rising
7' 8 sec
Friday
07/29
E-NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Holding

Saturday
07/30
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Dropping

Sunday
07/31
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Dropping

Monday
08/01
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping

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Current Swells:

Thursday   07/28
Primary: Rising  E-NE  1-3' surf at 8 sec
Secondary: Rising  S-SW  1-2+' at 14 sec
Third: Dropping  S-SW  1.5' surf at 12 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Thursday   07/28
Lingering, Isolated Brown water, small craft advsry for all waters
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Sailing Report:

Thursday   07/28
Good for all shores early with NE trades 15-30mph
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Diving Report:

Thursday   07/28
Improving but, Isolated Brown water run off: Poor-fair for select North, fair for select West, poor-fair for select South and poor for East dives.

Oahu

SUNSET
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
NE Trades moderate-fresh
fair

ROCKY POINT
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
NE Trades moderate-fresh
fair

Pipeline
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
NE Trades moderate-fresh
slightly bumpy

HALEIWA
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
NE Trades moderate-fresh
fair

MAKAHA
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
NE Trades moderate
smooth

ALA MOANA
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
NE Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Waikiki
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
NE Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Diamond Head
Thursday   07/28
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
NE Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Sandy Beach
Thursday   07/28
COMBO
Haw: 2-3 occ 4
Face: 3-5 occ 7
NE Trades moderate-strong
fair to good

Makapuu
Thursday   07/28
E-NE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
NE Trades moderate-strong
choppy

Maui

Hookipa
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
NE Trades moderate-strong
bumpy

Honolua
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
NE Trades moderate-strong
fair

Kihei
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
NE Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Hana
Thursday   07/28
E-NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
NE Trades moderate-strong
choppy

Lahaina
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
NE Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Kauai

Hanalei
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
NE Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Majors
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
NE Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Poipu
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
NE Trades moderate-fresh
good

Kapaa
Thursday   07/28
E-NE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
NE Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
NE Trades moderate-strong
choppy

Kohala
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
NE Trades moderate-strong
fair to good

Kona
Thursday   07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
NE Trades moderate
good

Hilo
Thursday   07/28
NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
NE Trades moderate-strong
choppy

Kau
Thursday   07/28
E-NE
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
NE Trades moderate-strong
bumpy

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE

Saturday July 23rd

‘Darby’ is the word of the week for waves, winds weather and warnings.
Surf is above warning levels along the Big Is SE and East shores. Maui’s rising too. Makapu’u is solid 6’ and Sandy’s much cleaner at solid 4’ (but it’s all building).

NPAC

Recent-current: We’ve had a near endless run of short period NE trade and tropical storm swells most the summer: One of the most consistent for at least waves to ride in the country in recent memory.

Next 1: Darby rising to 3’ or more esp for NE shores peaking over 6’ local size. The event will fade fast Monday with some underlying long period small ENE from Estelle swell even for Tuesday for upstream winds. Exact height is tough to call with a short fetch period and exact track of Darby up over or below the Islands. Big Is is the main hit for surf.

Next 2: Regular generic NE Trade swell fills back in Thursday onward with no ground swell in sight from the west, NW or central Pacific.


SPAC:

Recent and current: We had some small SW Taz surf up to about 2.5’ at top spots to sets but it’s fading this weekend. The source was a 45-55kt Low in the Taz 7/14.

Next: A Gale NE of NZL last Tuesday may bump us up later Tuesday the 26th to near 3’ surf at 14 sec. thru Wednesday. Light trades will be back after the southerlies from the passage of Darby Monday.

#2: A 45-55kt Low moved east over the Tz last Tuesday the 19th which may push up to 14 sec SSW Thursday-Friday the 28-29th to just over 2’ or about chest high.

Last: We could see some 15 sec SW Taz again filling Sat the 30th but nothing over 2’. We’ll keep an eye out. The Summer has been uneventful but at least it’s been very consistent.

Windward: High Surf warnings with tons of swell all week. Many beaches and parks are closed. Surf along the Big Is is 6-10’ and Maui 4-8’ and Oahu 4-6’ and Kauai 3-5’ but all are rising still.

Tropics: ‘Active’ is the term. In May some Meteorologist thought this year would see 5-7 storms between June 1 and Nov 30. We’ve had 7 already pop up and there’s 4 months to go (Frank and Georgette are behind Darby). Last El Nino season we had about 16 named Hurricanes…the second highest on record. We won’t likely get close to that number but only if this current Tropical Storm machine shuts down for awhile. By July 13th 2015 we already had 11 storms. Fingers crossed things calm down. They should.
The formal outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity during the 2016 hurricane season:
• 13-20 named storms,
• 6-11 hurricanes,
• 3-6 major hurricanes
• BE PREPARED
















Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)


Surfer's Wall Photos

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