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1030am OBs Wednesday 2/10 by Megadeth March 2-3.

Super clear & dry with cool light NE Trades mixing with light seabreezes. Above High surf Warnings for NW facing shores + Small craft Advsrys due to large open ocean swell.

BIG PICTURED UPDATED. NW Peaking 25' this afternoon into night and even Thursday dawn. Tiny SSW. Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF.

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North Shore:

Up and rising on the long period NW. NW Buoy 18' 17 sec. Hanalei 12' 18 sec & Waimea 6' 18 sec. Giant waves by afternoon. Sunset now 10-15+' and almost washed out & Pipe is a semi glassy 10-15' on second reef & marginal. Chuns & most normal spots are closed out with light side offshores and clear skies.
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West:

Up and rising (to near 20' this afternoon) on the NW. Surf at 10:30am hitting 6-10' on the Bowl and Point at Makaha with semi bump but good shape; clear.
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Town:

Up and holding on a new tiny 14 sec SSW and NW wrap late today: late morning from Kaisers to Kewalos 1-2' and same for Queens/Canoes with sets per 30 minutes; slightly bumpy and clear.
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Diamond Head:

Up a hair and holding SSW at 0-1.5' occ 2' sets and semi smooth at Right hands/Cliffs/Lite House with clear skies.
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Sandy's:

Holding mostly small North wrap, barely visible East and South at 1-2' for Full Pt-Half and 2' into middles to Chambers and better shape than Makapu'u; smooth offshores and clear.
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East Makapu'u:

Holding at Makapu'u with North wrap at 1-2' toward Keiki's but closing out with smooth, light onshores and clear skies.

Weather

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
70°F
max: 85°F

Clear

Wind:
8mph E

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 86°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph ENE

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
71°F
max: 87°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph E

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
72°F
max: 87°F

Clear

Wind:
8mph ESE

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
73°F
max: 86°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph ENE

Range:
10-20mph E-NE

Range:
5-10mph E-NE
veering variable
Range:
5-10mph Light/Var
veering seabreezes
Range:
5-10mph Light/Var
afternoon seabrz
Range:
5-15mph E-NE

North

Wednesday
02/10
NW
Haw: 10-15+
Face: 15-25+
Rising
25' afternoon; clean, clear
Thursday
02/11
N-NW
Haw: 15-20 occ 25
Face: 20-35 occ 40
Dropping
16' 16 sec
Friday
02/12
N-NW
Haw: 12-18
Face: 18-30
Dropping
12' 15 sec
Saturday
02/13
N-NW
Haw: 8-10
Face: 12-18
Dropping

Sunday
02/14
NW
Haw: 10-12+
Face: 15-20+
Rising
10' 16 sec
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West

Wednesday
02/10
NW
Haw: 8-10+
Face: 12-18+
Rising
peaking 20' afternoon; clean offshore, clear
Thursday
02/11
N-NW
Haw: 15-20
Face: 20-35
Holding

Friday
02/12
N-NW
Haw: 10-15
Face: 15-25’
Dropping

Saturday
02/13
NW
Haw: 5-8
Face: 8-14
Rising Later

Sunday
02/14
NW
Haw: 8-12
Face: 14-20
Holding

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South

Wednesday
02/10
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding
1.5' 14 sec + 3' NW wrap later?
Thursday
02/11
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Dropping
1.5' 12 sec + 4' NW wrap?
Friday
02/12
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Rising
.7' 16 sec (trace ground swell); + 3' NW wrap
Saturday
02/13
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Sunday
02/14
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

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east

Wednesday
02/10
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising Later
isolatd 5' NNW wrap later
Thursday
02/11
ENE+N
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Rising
isolated 5' N wrap
Friday
02/12
ENE+N
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Holding
isolated 3' N wrap
Saturday
02/13
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Dropping
isolated N wrap
Sunday
02/14
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

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Current Swells:

Wednesday   02/10
Primary: Rising  NW  15-20' surf late morning to 25' afternoon at 18 sec
Secondary: Holding  S-SW  1-2' surf at 14 sec
Third: Holding  E-NE  2' or less surf at 7 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Wednesday   02/10
Small craft Advsrys and High Surf Warnings thru Friday dawn
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Sailing Report:

Wednesday   02/10
Fair with light NE trades and clear
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Diving Report:

Wednesday   02/10
Good-Safe for South; CODE BLACK/Poor for North and West dives; even adjacent shores out poor/dangerous; poor/fair for isolated East shores

Oahu

SUNSET
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 10-15
Face: 15-25’
Trades light
fair to good
closing out soon
ROCKY POINT
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 10-12+
Face: 15-20+
Trades light
CLOSED OUT

Pipeline
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 10-15
Face: 15-25’
Trades light
fair to good
closing out soon
HALEIWA
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 8-10
Face: 12-18
Trades light
good
closing out soon
MAKAHA
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 6-8+
Face: 10-15+
Trades light
smooth am...mushy pm
nearing 20' afternoon
ALA MOANA
Wednesday   02/10
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light
good to excellent

Waikiki
Wednesday   02/10
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light
smooth

Diamond Head
Wednesday   02/10
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
smooth

Sandy Beach
Wednesday   02/10
S+N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
smooth

Makapuu
Wednesday   02/10
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
fairly clean
bigger later on N wrap

Maui

Hookipa
Wednesday   02/10
N-NW
Haw: 8-10+
Face: 12-18+
Trades light
good
Peahi 20-25' afternoon
Honolua
Wednesday   02/10
N-NW
Haw: 5-7+
Face: 8-12+
Trades light
smooth
10-15' afternoon
Kihei
Wednesday   02/10
COMBO
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Trades light
smooth
3' afternoon
Hana
Wednesday   02/10
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades light
fair to good

Lahaina
Wednesday   02/10
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Trades light
clean

Kauai

Hanalei
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 12-18
Face: 18-30
Trades light
good
20' after midday
Majors
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 10-12+
Face: 15-20+
Trades light
smooth am...mushy pm
18' after midday
Poipu
Wednesday   02/10
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light
smooth

Kapaa
Wednesday   02/10
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades light
fair to good

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Wednesday   02/10
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades light
fair to good
Bigger later
Kohala
Wednesday   02/10
NW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
North winds
smooth
Bigger later
Kona
Wednesday   02/10
NNW+SSW
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Trades light
glassy
5' later
Hilo
Wednesday   02/10
ENE+N
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades light
semi-clean

Kau
Wednesday   02/10
COMBO
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
North winds
good
bigger later from NNW

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

Big Picture

Wednesday 2/9/16

NPAC:
Same set up. The El Nino jetstream is low and consolidated off Japan from 25-40 N lat Pockets of 200 kts and flows beyond longitudes of Hawaii with a break before the end of this 7 day forecast period It’s been supporting the growth of solid surface Lows and steering them close to us with now approx 10 classic big swells for El Nino. Over this past weekend the jet took a new shape with an NE tilt up from Japan to a Dip down right toward Hawaii by Sunday 2/7 leading to a frontal passage and N wind pattern change. It was short lived and now we have gorgeous weather and lite trades.

Recent and current: The BIG ONE was pointed a little too ENE of us yet still has mustered some 15’ swell at 17 sec. Models had backed down on the GIANT NW-NNW slated for early Wed. but the delay was long. It’s still peaking late today into Thursday morning up to 25’ for outer reefs. The Bay doesn’t seem to be pulling in a much as hoped. Thus, the call to postpone The Eddie was correct. Friday it’s still going to be big. Source: An occluded Low pressure deepened fast this past weekend; it began formation nearing the dateline this Sunday and intensifying with 40-50’ seas by Monday as it now tracks more East at first then ESE (earlier runs had a better captured fetch). Highest seas from this Low’s were off to our NE thus it never brought us its full potential.

Last: A big Low tracks E to ESE off the Kuril Islands Thursday the 11th reaching the dateline Friday with 30’ seas. Over the weekend of the 13th the storm is nosing to 5-600 miles to the NW. Plus, there’s some follow up Low’s within the complex parent low adding some support as the 2 areas split. This will lead to just below warning level WNW to NW surf Sunday for Valentines and lasting thru Tuesday which is rare. It’ll drop to 8-10’ by Wed the 17th.

SPAC:
The Jet down under is actually conducive to some SSW swell development. The Flow is ENE all week and almost N pointing by week’s end. The southern branch goes zonal by Friday. It really weakens after that with little to no surface low potential.

Recent and current: It’s been tiny with mostly NW wrap trying to occas. give what’s been missing. Trace background thigh high surf is all we’ve had with a few exceptional 2’ sets.

Next: A low moved ENE within the Jet flow mentioned Tues 2/2-Thurs as it veers east out of our window. So we had only 2’ surf from the SSW Tuesday-Thursday at 14 seconds.

Next: a fairly big Low comes out from under NZL Friday the 5th and doesn’t have much of an extended fetch so we’ll only see 1’ of SSW swell at 16 seconds Friday the 12th or 2’ surf.

Long Range: That’s about it for now. Occasional lows moving within the off and on zonal jet through the period.


Windward: Tiny trade swells under 2’ with N wrap over riding all other sources.

Tropics: Nothing.























Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)


Please visit the Central Pacific Hurricane Center website at www.weather.gov/cphc for the most recent bulletins.

Hurricanes/T-Storms so far….

Andres
Blanca
Carlos
Dolores Enrique Felicia
Guillermo Hilda Ignacio Jimena Kevin Linda
Marty Nora Olaf Patricia Rick Sandra
Terry Vivian Waldo Xina York Zelda

Surfer's Wall Photos

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