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Used Surfboards HI. Sale 9.30.17

645am OBs for Friday 9/22 Surf n Sea's Back Porch Boogie Saturday Nite!

Beautiful with just scattered clouds for Leeward. Typical broken to cloudy Windward/ Mauka. Early light-moderate ENE trades filling to fresh (10-25 mph). Small craft advisory for channels east of Moloka'i.

BIG PICTURE Update Friday 6pm. Small NW holding along with average trade swell micro SSE. Call 596-SURF (7am, Noon, 3 updates & 5p recap/trend)

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North Shore:

Holding small 11 sec NW. Surf is fairly smooth with light side-offshore for Sunset Pt. 1-3', Rocky Pt 1-2 almost 3', Pipe to OTW 0-2', Chuns 1-2+', Laniakea 1-2' barely higher. Ali'i Beach Park 1-2+'. Light-moderate ENE trades filling to fresh & scattered clouds.
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West:

Holding the small NW. Makaha is 0-2' & smooth with light-moderate offshore trades filling in under mostly sunny skies.
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Town:

Down & holding a tiny short period SSE. Surf is mostly 0-1-2' again with smooth offshores but low power from Kewalos to Courts, Ala Moana to Kaisers. Threes-Pops-Queens 0-1-2' with ENE offshore trades filling to fresh under scattered clouds.
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Diamond Head:

Holding small 11 sec SSE. Surf is 1-2' mostly with occ shoulder high on take-offs. Pretty good early: Just semi bumpy with early moderate side off-shores filling to fresh (15-25mph). Some off-on nice rights but 'backing-off' alot under scattered to broken clouds.
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Sandy's:

Eased a hair but holding Trade swell and trace of South. Surf is 1-2 occ pushing 3'. Better in shorebreak. Fair side offshore with the early bump as trades fill to fresh. Full Point, 1/2 Point, Pipe littles a bit bumpy; some nice peaks thru the Shorebreak to Chambers under broken clouds.
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East Makapu'u:

Down a hair and Holding the average 8 sec ENE trade swell. Surf is averaging 1-2 pushing 3' from left to middle. It's typical onshore chop, improving later on this short interval stuff under broken clouds.
CHOLOS GENERIC

Weather

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 92°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph NE

Saturday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 92°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph NE

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 92°F

Clear

Wind:
18mph NE

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 91°F

Clear

Wind:
13mph NE

Tuesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
13mph NE

Range:
10-25mph ENE Trade

Range:
10-20mph ENE Trade

Range:
5-15+mph ENE Trade

Range:
5-10mph ENE Trade

Range:
5-10mph ENE Trade

North

Friday
09/22
NW
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Holding
3' 11s; semi smooth, sideoff, partly clear
Saturday
09/23
NW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Dropping
2.5' 10sec
Sunday
09/24
NW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Dropping

Monday
09/25
NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Expected
1.5' 10s
Tuesday
09/26
NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping

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West

Friday
09/22
W-NW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding
smooth offshore, fairly clear
Saturday
09/23
COMBO
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding

Sunday
09/24
COMBO
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Rising

Monday
09/25
COMBO
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Holding

Tuesday
09/26
COMBO
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Holding

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South

Friday
09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding
2' 10sec; clean offshore, scattered clouds
Saturday
09/23
S-SE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding

Sunday
09/24
SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Expected
1' 14 sec
Monday
09/25
SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising

Tuesday
09/26
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising

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east

Friday
09/22
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Dropping
Choppy onshore AM sickenss, broken clouds
Saturday
09/23
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Holding

Sunday
09/24
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Monday
09/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Tuesday
09/26
E-NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

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Current Swells:

Friday   09/22
Primary: Holding  NW  1-2-3' surf at 13sec
Secondary: Dropping Slowly  E-NE  Barely 3' surf at 8 sec
Third: Dropping  S-SE  Barely 2' surf at 10 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Friday   09/22
Small craft for all waters: Channels
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Sailing Report:

Friday   09/22
Good with moderate to fresh Trades 15-25 gusts filling in all morning
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Diving Report:

Friday   09/22
Fair-good diving for deeper North zones & good for plenty West spots and good for South shores. Fair for East shores on inside reef.

Oahu

SUNSET
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

ROCKY POINT
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Pipeline
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades moderate
fair

HALEIWA
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate
smooth

MAKAHA
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light-moderate
good

ALA MOANA
Friday   09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
NE Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Waikiki
Friday   09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
ENE Trades moderate
good

Diamond Head
Friday   09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Sandy Beach
Friday   09/22
ENE+SSE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Makapuu
Friday   09/22
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Maui

Hookipa
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Honolua
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Kihei
Friday   09/22
S
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate-fresh
smooth

Hana
Friday   09/22
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Lahaina
Friday   09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades light-moderate
smooth

Kauai

Hanalei
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
good

Majors
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades moderate
fair to good

Majors
Friday   09/22
NW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Trades light
smooth

Poipu
Friday   09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades moderate-fresh
fair to good

Kapaa
Friday   09/22
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Friday   09/22
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Kohala
Friday   09/22
S
Haw: 0
Face: 0
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
diving , paddling and fishin'

Kona
Friday   09/22
S-SE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Trades moderate
smooth

Hilo
Friday   09/22
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Kau
Friday   09/22
ENE+S
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
ENE Trades moderate
bumpy

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE: Friday 9/23/17

NPAC: The 130kt Jet is lower with some mostly zonal flow from Japan to near our 160W longitude. But we need some 160-180+kts or more energy in these upper regions 30,000 ft up.

A huge area of High pressure persists for a majority of the East Pac where the Jet bumps up and over.

By next week Tuesday the 26th there’s a dip or trough to our North and the Jet gains momentum which allows for a surface low to spawn and bring some surf next weekend. This dip is pronounced into next wkend.

The Jet moves NE off Japan is finally up to 160kts by Saturday the 30th but it’s distant and is only steering surface storms into the Bering sea.

#1 Recently/currently: We’ve had a windy trade week with small surf including the short period WNW that filled Thursday to 3’; it veered NW into Friday holding the same head high range. This small Fall event was triggered by a small eastbound Low this past Sunday about 1500 miles NW. This fades all weekend esp by Sunday but will at least be ride-able. The work week gets even worse. Tho’ we do see some soft 2’ reinforcement of a 10 sec NNW Monday-Wednesday. But it’s mostly ‘background’ level just to keep Menehune’s stoked.

#2 Next: Low pressures go into a quiet period from Thursday22nd-Monday25th when a tiny short fetch 1500 miles NNW of us pops from a fast east tracking weak Low. It may bring some 3’ surf at 10 sec later Tuesday into Wednesday the 28th.

#3 Last: A better bet NW comes from a Low spotted Tuesday about 2000 miles NW. It’s crossing the dateline Wed-Thurs. the 28th when the fetch strengthens to 50kts just on our side of the dateline just 900 miles NW. The fetch gets support via increased pressure gradient between the high pressure to the NW of the Low into Friday. Look for a fast rise from 2-4’ surf early thru the first half of Saturday the 30th then climb to almost 6’ the second half, ending up with the swell of 6’ at 11 sec Sunday or 3-5’ surf average. This longer-lasting event should be a few days. It will start off NW and end up NNW by Tuesday.

SPAC: The JETSTREAM looks bad for SSW swell production the entire 7-day model run. This reflects our transition into Fall. Though there’s energy (180kts) for the zonal Northern Branch we don’t get the proper positioning of surface Lows. The southern branch way down under is terrible: weak and zonal, all the way until day 7 when, far to the SE it points NE to the Americas. It’s mostly out of our window, however, models hint that the storm spawned will be big and strong enough for a long period sideband SE swell Oct 7-9. Too early to call.

#1 Recent + Today: It’s been tiny but rideable from the generic SSE this week with averages of 2.5’ early and 2’ later by Friday

#2 Next: A Taz Low centered at bottom of Tasmania tracks mostly ENE from Friday-Sat. 15-16th. So far models say less than 1.5’ deep water at 14sec Sunday the 24th. Meaning 2’ surf average More Monday into Tuesday. Sets slow to rise and be 2x an hour to start which is your typical Taz. There was also a compact Low to the SE of Tahiti last weekend which may keep 2’ surf in the mix Sunday into Tuesday

#3 Next: Another smaller Taz source was seen Wednesday the 20th. So far WW3 has less than 1’ of deep water at 15 sec. Not likely enough to make it waist high this Wednesday-Friday more than once an hour.

#4 Last: A big Low come up off the Ross Ice Shelf Saturday the 30th but it’s far (too far) SE and if we get anything oct 7th it will only be sideband swell thanks to swell dispersion (think: a tossed pebble into a pond).  At any rate, WW3 model fantasy does have this peak with 2’ deep water at 15 sec Sunday the 8th which if it pans out would mean solid 3’ for SE focal reefs like Kewalos, Courts, Kaisers, DH, Sandys…

TRADE SWELL

Trades swell has been good this past week but is heading just below averages from Sunday into next week Friday! There’s a Low’s weak surface trough pushing our high east and weakening it and it’s ridge down near the Islands from the NW. By Sunday eve the trades will be light enough for sea breezes thru Wednesday….so small wind swell, but clean conditions. Good diving for Windward all week.

TROPICS: Nothing today nor for the weekend.

We had Typhoon Talim slamming Japan Monday and today it’s all but finished its destructive journey.

Get the latest on the tropics at www.hurricanes.gov

The Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlook for the 2017 Central Pacific Hurricane Season calls for 5 to 8 tropical cyclones to either develop or cross into the Central Pacific with a 40% chance for an above-normal season, a 40% chance for a normal season, and a 20% chance for a below-normal season. An average season has 4 to 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.

A tropical depression forms when a low-pressure area is accompanied by thunderstorms that produce a circular wind flow with maximum sustained winds below 39 mph. An upgrade to a tropical storm occurs when cyclonic circulation becomes more organized and maximum sustained winds gust between 39 mph and 73 mph. A tropical storm is then upgraded into Category 1 hurricane status as maximum sustained winds increase to between 74 mph and 95 mph. (The highest classification in the scale, Category 5, is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 156 mph). 

Tropical cyclones go by many names around the world, and the terminology can get confusing. Once a tropical cyclone strengthens to the point where it has gale-force winds—39 mph or greater—it becomes a tropical storm. A storm that reaches tropical storm strength usually gets its own name to help us quickly identify it in forecasts and warnings. Once a tropical storm begins producing sustained winds of around 75 mph, we call the storm a typhoon in the western Pacific near Asia and a hurricane in the oceans on either side of North America. A “typhoon” and a “hurricane” are the same kind of storm, they just go by different names…it’s only a matter of geography.

NWS criteria for High Surf Advisories & Warnings.

In coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i, the NWS uses the criteria below for the issuance of High Surf Advisories & Warnings in coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i.

All surf height observations & forecasts are for the full face surf height, from the trough to the crest of the wave.

Advisory and Warning Criteria Location 

Warning North-Facing Shores 15 Feet 25 Feet

West-Facing Shores - Remaining Islands 12 Feet 20 Feet

West-Facing Shores - Big Island 8 Feet 12 Feet

South-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet

East-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet

'Travel Time' Buoy 51101 to Waimea Buoy. Distance: 269 nautical miles (~310 miles). Angle: 307 deg
Wave   Wave        Wave   Depth      Wave Direction (deg)----------
Period  Length      Speed  Shallow   295,  305,  315,  325,  335,  345,  355
(s)       (ft)    (nm/h)  (ft)                  Travel Time (hours)----------
10sec. 512.  15.        256.                   17.3, 17.7, 17.6, 16.9,  15.7,   14.0,   11.9
12sec. 737.  18.        369.                  14.5,  14.8, 14.6, 14.0, 13.0,  11.6,  9.9
14sec. 1003. 21.      502.                  12.4,  12.7, 12.5,  12.0,  11.2, 10.0,  8.5
16sec. 1310. 24.      655.                  10.8, ,1 1.1,  11.0,  10.5,   9.8,   8.7,  7.4
18sec. 1658. 27.     829.                   9.6,    9.8,     9.8,   9.4,   8.7,   7.8,  6.6
20sec. 2047. 30.    1024.                8.7     8.9      8.8     8.4    7.8    7.0   5.9
22sec. 2477. 33.    1239.                 7.9     8.1       8.0     7.7    7.1     6.3   5.4
24sec. 2948. 36.    1474.                7.2      7.4      7.3     7.0   6.5     5.8    4.9



Tropical Storms - wind 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)

Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)

Category 2 -winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)

Category 3 -winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)

Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)

Category 5 -winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)

Please visit the Central Pacific Hurricane Center website at www.weather.gov/cphc for the most recent bulletins.

ENSO is a single climate phenomenon, it has three states or phases. The two opposite phases, “El Niño” and “La Niña,” require certain changes in both the ocean and the atmosphere because ENSO is a coupled climate phenomenon.  “Neutral” is in the middle of the continuum. The MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average, unlike ENSO which is stationary. In a nutshell, more active means more surf.
Kelvin wave (A Kelvin wave is a wave in the ocean or atmosphere that balances the Earth's Coriolis force against a topographic boundary such as a coastline, or a waveguide such as the equator. A feature of a Kelvin wave is that it is non-dispersive, i.e., the phase speed of the wave crests is equal to the group speed of the wave energy for all frequencies. This means that it retains its shape as it moves in the alongshore direction over time.)

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