Wednesday, August 20, 2014 596-SURF , 596-WAVE , 922-BONG , 638-RUSH , 572-SURF(MAUI) , 241-SURF (KAUAI) , 324-RUSH (BIG ISLAND)
   
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Day 2 is ON LIVE. Recent post: Billabong Pro Tahiti goes off in Epic style! Photo: Mick Fanning © ASP/Scholtz Massive thick 6-10' Polynesian Scale Surf Greets World's Best on Opening Day 18 August, 2014 - Teahupo'o - The Billabong Pro Tahiti got underway today in biggest surf of the season as the world's best battled 10-to-18 foot faces or crest to trough surf (and 10-18' wide) at Teahupo'o for Round 1 and the opening two heats of Round 2. The seventh stop on the 2014 Samsung Galaxy ASP World Championship Tour (WCT) saw a thrilling day of competition as top seeds soared and even the most knowledgable of surfers suffered horrific wipeouts at the world's most dangerous waves.... Read the Full Story
The 13th Annual Dukes OceanFest going off with great timing with Mother Nature. The 13th annual Duke's OceanFest features a variety of ocean sports that were close to Duke Kahanamoku's heart, including Longboard Surfing, Paddleboard Racing, Swimming, Tandem Surfing, Surf Polo, Beach Volleyball, and Stand-Up Paddling. The events will be held throughout Waikiki from August 16-24, 2014....GO HERE Read the Full Story
The Horn Blew at 730am HI and Tahiti Time! Massive Surf In Store For Billabong Pro Tahiti All This Week The ASP, the world surf league, today announced that a swell system currently headed for Tahiti is expected to create waves up to 20-feet (6-metres) for the Billabong Pro -- Stop No. 7 on the 2014 Samsung Galaxy ASP World Championship Tour. Live coverage of the event will be available at www.aspworldtour.com, showcasing the world’s best surfers facing historically dangerous waves in the battle for the world crown.  Read the Full Story
We lost a legend - Skating pioneer Jay Adams , one of the original Z-Boys passed away Jay Adams, the colorful rebel who helped transform skateboarding from a simple street pastime into one of the world's most spectacular sports with hair-raising stunts and an outsized personality to match, has died at age 53. Adams died of a heart attack Thursday during a surfing vacation in Mexico with his wife and friends, his manager, Susan Ferris said Friday. Read the Full Story
LOCAL SWELL TRACKER: Tons of SSW swell for the Dukes Oceanfest. Country stays rideable. East side ramps esp next week. BIG SURF PICTURE Friday 8/15/14
NPAC The weaker Jet up North is going back to poor potential for swell enhancement, and tho’ she’s elongated the winds are too light for anything. Tho’ what a run of North swell over the last week or so. Julio remnants are over 600 miles N of us and High pressures are building into dominance again. Recent: tons of fun solid 3’ or head high 9 second N to NNW swell has been gracing our North Shore’s focal reefs from winds assoc with former Hurricane Julio spinning about 600 miles to our N. Prior, we even added plenty ‘Westers’ from recent Typhoons (Halong and Geneviere). This put August above seasonal averages....
Read the Full Story
More than 600 surf industry VIPs came together... Photo: Reef McIntosh, Bob McKnight & Tom Carroll © Hilleman Annual SIMA event honors Ted Danson, Hobie Alter as well 12 August, 2014 - Supporting the preservation and protection of the ocean at the SIMA Environmental Fund Waterman’s Weekend fundraiser was on August 8-9. The 14th Annual Waterman’s Classic Golf Tournament took place at the Monarch Beach Golf Links in Dana Point on Friday, and the 25th Annual Waterman’s Ball took place at The Ritz-Carlton, Laguna Niguel the following night. In the past 24 years the SIMA Environmental Fund has raised more than $6.5 million through the Waterman’s Ball for organizations dedicated to preserving and protecting our oceans, beaches and waves. In this 25th anniversary year, the sold-out Waterman’s events aimed to push the fundraising total to the $7 million mark.... Read the Full Story
Jimmy Buffett’s, Honolulu Surf Museum closing doors Photo: Hawaiian kids circa 1910 Photo courtesy The Bishop Museum Aloha party features book signing and more Surf News, 11 August, 2014: On Duke Kahanamoku’s birthday, Sunday August 24, Jimmy Buffett’s at the Beachcomber and the Honolulu Surfing Museum will be saying “aloha oe” (Farewell to thee) and mahalo to all its loyal patrons. Established in 2009 on the second floor of the Holiday Inn Waikiki Beachcomber Resort at 2300 Kalakaua Avenue, Jimmy Buffett’s at the Beachcomber has been wining and dining locals and malahini for five solid years, while the Honolulu Surfing Museum displays one of the finest collections of surfboards and surfing history in the known universe... Read the Full Story
Sage Erickson wins ASP 6-Star Supergirl Pro Sage Erickson (Ventura, CA), 23, has won the Association of Surfing Professionals (ASP) 6-Star Paul Mitchell Supergirl Pro over Tatiana Weston-Webb (Kauai, HI), 18, in one-to-three foot waves at Oceanside Pier. Erickson took an early lead in the final, but Weston-Webb quickly overtook the Californian, holding the lead throughout the majority of the heat. Erickson answered back, delivering a big backhand snap of a left set for a 6.83 and her second career Supergirl Pro victory. Read the Full Story
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Waves, Winds, Weather compliments of Dukes OceanFest

Your exclusive SNN Obs for this Tuesday Aug. 19th 645am

Sunny leeward skies today with light trades early then filling to moderate-fresh levels. .2' Low pushes High at 1pm 1.9'. New pulse of 16 sec popped on Barbers buoy.

NORTH: Dropping more on the NNW/NE at 0-1/2' and semi glassy with mostly clear skies and super light trades.  Clean offshores later. See our new SNN Laniakea and Chuns cams. West: Makaha is down on the South and NNW at 0-1' at and other western reefs a little bigger up to 2' and it's glassy but will see some offshores. Town: Down but rising later on a new SSW. Currently, the recent 13 second south is at 1-2' at Ala Moana, Kaisers, Kewalos (check our new Bowls-Courts CAM); light trade offshores with alittle AM sickness at Bowls; Diamond Head: Down some from yesterday and Holding at 1-2 maybe the occ 2.5' or chest high wave and good for now but later we'll see sideshore bumpiness from the 10-20+ ENE trades; Sandy's: Down but Holding on 2' E swell + south mixing at 1-3' with the usual power from Full Pt. to Pipelittles to chambers; fair sideshore bump and fairly clear.  East: Makapu'u: Holding 1-2' chance of occ 2.5' later from generic local trades, waves similar to the middle mostly and a bit smaller at Keiki's...10-20 mph E trades, some typical chop.

Events, News etc.

Its ON LIVE! ASP stop #6: The Billabong Tahiti Pro kicked off 840am HI Time Today (holding period 15-24th) with 4-6' surf and more life threatening swell in the forecast. GO HERE

The 13th Annual Dukes OceanFest kicked off this weekend Aug 16 and doesnt stop till Sunday the 24th. A new overhead SSW is here Thursday-Friday! GO HERE

Quote of the week"I've tried body surfing. It's nice" Ziggy Marley

Turtle Bay Resort WNW surf session Saturday eve.

SNN BIG Picture updated Friday 8/15 HERE

See the SNN animations page for a fast glance at the Storms & Weather HERE

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Surf Report

Surf

North
Tue '08/19'
Holding - COMBO
HAW: 0-1/2
FACE: 0-1
clear, clean
Wed '08/20'
Holding - COMBO
HAW: 0-1/2
FACE: 0-1
Thu '08/21'
Holding - NE
HAW: 0-1
FACE: 0-1.5
Fri '08/22'
Holding - NE
HAW: 0-1/2
FACE: 0-1
Sat '08/23'
Holding - NE
HAW: 0-1/2
FACE: 0-1
Haleiwa
Tue '08/19'
Time
Ht.
L 3:04 AM 0.2 ft.
H 11:44 AM 1.6 ft.
L 5:57 PM 0.4 ft.
---
Sunrise: 6:11 AM
Sunset: 6:57 PM
Wed '08/20'
Time
Ht.
H 11:35 PM 0.7 ft.
L 4:01 AM 0.2 ft.
H 12:28 PM 1.6 ft.
L 6:32 PM 0.3 ft.
Sunrise: 6:11 AM
Sunset: 6:57 PM
Thu '08/21'
Time
Ht.
H 12:26 AM 0.7 ft.
L 4:51 AM 0.1 ft.
H 1:06 PM 1.6 ft.
L 7:00 PM 0.3 ft.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 6:56 PM
Fri '08/22'
Time
Ht.
H 1:05 AM 0.8 ft.
L 5:34 AM 0.1 ft.
H 1:39 PM 1.7 ft.
L 7:24 PM 0.2 ft.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 6:55 PM
Sat '08/23'
Time
Ht.
H 1:40 AM 0.9 ft.
L 6:13 AM 0.1 ft.
H 2:10 PM 1.7 ft.
L 7:48 PM 0.2 ft.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 6:54 PM

West
Holding - COMBO
HAW: 0-1.5
FACE: 0-2
clear, clean
Rising Evening - COMBO
HAW: 0-1
FACE: 0-1.5
Rising - COMBO
HAW: 2-4
FACE: 3-7
Holding - COMBO
HAW: 2-4
FACE: 3-7
Holding - COMBO
HAW: 1-3
FACE: 2-5

South
Rising Later - S+SSW
HAW: 1-2
FACE: 1-3
clear, clean, new 16 sec SSW
Rising Evening - S+SSW
HAW: 1-2
FACE: 1-3
1' 18 sec forerunners 6pm ish
Rising - S+SSW
HAW: 3-4+
FACE: 5-7+
Holding - S+SSW
HAW: 3-4+
FACE: 5-7+
4' 14 sec peak early
Holding - S+SSW
HAW: 2-4
FACE: 3-7
Honolulu Harbor
Tue '08/19'
Time
Ht.
H 11:28 PM 0.8 ft.
L 5:09 AM 0.2 ft.
H 12:46 PM 2 ft.
L 8:02 PM 0.5 ft.
Sunrise: 6:11 AM
Sunset: 6:57 PM
Wed '08/20'
Time
Ht.
H 12:37 AM 0.8 ft.
L 6:06 AM 0.2 ft.
H 1:30 PM 2 ft.
L 8:37 PM 0.4 ft.
Sunrise: 6:11 AM
Sunset: 6:57 PM
Thu '08/21'
Time
Ht.
H 1:28 AM 0.9 ft.
L 6:56 AM 0.2 ft.
H 2:08 PM 2 ft.
L 9:05 PM 0.3 ft.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 6:56 PM
Fri '08/22'
Time
Ht.
H 2:07 AM 1 ft.
L 7:39 AM 0.1 ft.
H 2:41 PM 2.1 ft.
L 9:29 PM 0.3 ft.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 6:55 PM
Sat '08/23'
Time
Ht.
H 2:42 AM 1.1 ft.
L 8:18 AM 0.1 ft.
H 3:12 PM 2.1 ft.
L 9:53 PM 0.3 ft.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 6:54 PM

East
Holding - E-NE
HAW: 1-2
FACE: 1-3
partly clear, bumpy
Holding - E-NE
HAW: 1-2+
FACE: 1-3+
Holding - E-NE
HAW: 1-2
FACE: 1-3
Holding - E-NE
HAW: 1-2+
FACE: 1-3+
Holding - E-NE
HAW: 1-2+
FACE: 1-3+

Winds
Hawaii
Tue '08/19'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-20+
Wed '08/20'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-20+
Thu '08/21'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-20
Fri '08/22'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-20
Sat '08/23'
E-NE E-NE
Mph: 10-20

Current Swells

Tue '08/19'
Primary : S / Dropping , 1-2'
Secondary : S-SW / Rising Later , 1' now, 2' tonight
Third : E-NE / Holding , 1-2'

Marine Warnings

Tue '08/19'
Hawaii : Small craft adv for channels and extreme UV so bring da BullFrog!

Sailing Report

Tue '08/19'
Hawaii : Fair w/ light AM ENE trades picking up mid morning to fresh paces. So overall its Good with moderate to Fresh trades.

Diving Report

Tue '08/19'
Hawaii : Fair/good for all shores: best out the west & most spots on the north shore. South and East are decent too for the deeper dives.

Oahu

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Oahu - Sunset COMBO Flat- to 1/2 foot 0 to Ankle Snappers Trades good

Oahu - Pipeline COMBO Flat- to 1/2 foot 0 to Ankle Snappers Trades Offshore

Oahu - Rocky Point COMBO Flat- to 1/2 foot 0 to Ankle Snappers Trades good

Oahu - Haleiwa COMBO Flat 0 to Flat Trades smooth

Oahu - Makaha COMBO Flat- to 1 foot 0 to Knee Trades good

Oahu - Ala Moana SSE+SSW 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades fair to good

Oahu - Waikiki SSE+SSW 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades good

Oahu - Diamond Head SSE+SSW 1- to 2-feet, occ. 3 feet Knee to Waist occ. Head Trades fair

Oahu - Sandy Beach COMBO 1- to 2-feet, occ. 3 feet Knee to Waist occ. Head FRESH TRADES fair

Oahu - Makapuu E 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist FRESH TRADES bumpy

Maui

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Maui - North-Hookipa area COMBO Flat- to 1 foot 0 to Knee FRESH TRADES good

Maui - Upper West - Honolua COMBO Flat 0 to Flat Trades smooth

Maui - Lower West - Lahaina SSE+SSW Flat- to 2-feet 0 to Waist Trades good

Maui - South - Kihei S-SW Flat 0 to Flat FRESH TRADES good

Maui - East - Hana E-NE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades fair to good

Kauai

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Kauai - North - Hanalei COMBO Flat 0 to Flat Trades smooth

Kauai - West - Majors COMBO Flat- to 1 foot 0 to Knee Trades smooth

Kauai - South - Poipu SSE+SSW 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades fair to good

Kauai - East - Kapaa E-NE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades fair to good

Big Island

Spot Direction Height - Hawaiian Scale Height - Face Scale Winds Conditions Comments
Big Isl. - North - Hamakua Coast NE 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades fair to good

Big Isl. - North West - Kohala COMBO Flat 0 to Flat Trades diving , paddling and fishin'

Big Isl. - South West - Kona Coast SSE+SSW Flat- to 2-feet 0 to Waist Trades good

Big Isl. - East - Hilo Coast NE rising 1- to 2-feet Knee to Waist Trades mild choppiness

Big Isl. - SE to S Puna, Ka u Coasts COMBO 1- to 2-feet, occ. 3 feet Knee to Waist occ. Head FRESH TRADES fair

Sponsored by Hawaiian South Shore.

THE WHERE, WHEN & WHY OF HAWAII’S WAVES & WEATHER: A VIDEO PRESENTATION BY SNN

Winds Statewide in a glance ...go HERE (this link is also the 4th drop down under weather)

Aug 15, 2014 3:39 AM HST

Synopsis
Locally breezy trade winds will continue through the weekend. Clouds and showers will be focused over windward and mauka areas, mainly during the night and morning hours. Isolated showers will also be possible across the leeward slopes of the Big Island each afternoon and evening.

Discussion
Stable stratocumulus clouds and scattered low-topped showers have increased across the windward coastal waters during the last several hours, but rain gauge data indicates that only light rainfall amounts have occurred at some land stations, with most places remaining dry. Surface analysis depicts a high pressure ridge nosing westward along 26°N, between Hawaii and weakening tropical storm Julio far to our north. The building high to our north has caused moderate trade winds to resume across the state. Aloft, a mid/upper level anticyclone is centered to the northeast of the state with a ridge extending westward to our north. The 12Z soundings found a dry and stable environment remaining in place, with a well defined inversion lowering to about 5500 feet at Lihue. It appears that the Hilo sounding was probably affected by nearby showers, which resulted in a slightly higher inversion up near 8000 feet along with a slight pwat increase. Pwats at both stations remained below the 25th percentile for this time of year. Mimic-tpw imagery shows little change in the airmass upstream of the state, with estimated pwats near or just over one inch extending eastward for over 1000 miles, and the northern edge of deep tropical moisture remaining a few hundred miles south of the Big Island.

Little change is in store for today through the weekend, with moderate to locally breezy trades continuing. Ridging aloft will remain over and north of the state. Models maintain dry and stable conditions, with the inversion remaining at 5-6k feet, and pwats remaining below normal, near or just over one inch. Expect the rather dry trade pattern to persist, with limited passing showers mainly during the late night and early morning over windward and mauka areas, and isolated showers possible on the leeward Big Island each afternoon and early evening.

A somewhat wetter trade pattern may develop early next week, when most of the model guidance develops a weak mid/upper level trough near or just north of the state. This should allow for some weakening of the subsidence inversion, which combined with pockets of modestly higher moisture moving through in the continued moderate trade wind flow could allow for increased shower activity. Would expect showers to remain focused over windward/mauka, but leeward areas could see a bit more shower activity as well especially during the late night and early morning hours.

There continues to be much uncertainty with respect to potential developments in the tropical Pacific as we head into next week. Global models have been consistently indicating some sort of development far southeast of the state, but also have been depicting wildly varying evolutions and motions of any system that may eventually develop. The situation is further complicated by the potential for interaction with current east Pacific tropical storm Karina. It is too early to have any confidence as to the potential impacts, if any, on island weather next week. For now, the forecast calls for typical trade wind weather to continue.

Marine
The overnight ascat pass missed the Hawaiian coastal waters, but an earlier pass from late Thursday morning indicated a pocket of 25 knot winds in the Alenuihaha channel. Trade winds are expected to gradually strengthen further today through the weekend, and a small craft advisory remains in effect for the typically windier areas near Maui and the Big Island. Winds around 25 knots are expected to continue across the advisory area through the weekend.

Swell from a variety of sources will continue to affect the state through the weekend, but resulting surf heights are expected to remain below advisory criteria on all shores. A small northwest swell will arrive today and continue through the weekend, while several overlapping small southerly swells will continue to arrive through the weekend and into next week.

Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Small craft advisory until 6 am HST Monday for Maalaea Bay, Pailolo channel, Alenuihaha channel, Big Island leeward waters, Big Island southeast waters.

 

BIG SURF PICTURE Friday 8/15/14

8/15/14

NPAC

The weaker Jet up North is going back to poor potential for swell enhancement, and tho’ she’s elongated the winds are too light for anything. Tho’ what a run of North swell over the last week or so. Julio remnants are over 600 miles N of us and High pressures are building into dominance again.

Recent: tons of fun solid 3’ or head high 9 second N to NNW swell has been gracing our North Shore’s focal reefs from winds assoc with former Hurricane Julio spinning about 600 miles to our N. Prior, we even added plenty ‘Westers’ from recent Typhoons (Halong and Geneviere). This put August above seasonal averages.

Next: a gale Low near Kamchatka 8/10 crossed the date Monday. The source was a long ways away and pushed most of its swell NE of us but thanks to the spreading swell trains we got a long lasting 12 sec NNW this weekend hitting 2-3+ or a foot overage for focal reefs.

Next: slight chance of 2’ NNW Tuesday the 19th from a weak Gale Low near the dateline today.

Next: Nothing from the WNW-N but we will likely see swell late in the 7 day forecast from T. Storm Karina as she nears Hawaii from the East. Watch for longer period East wrap around the 20th or Wednesday.

(See NPAC models HERE)

SPAC:

It’s been an active season down under. The North branch of the Jet is solid and the Southern branch has had some recent flows pointing our way. Fri-Wednesday 20th the Jet is West to east or zonal with little to no opportunity to steer a Low Northward. But by Thursday we see that equatorial bound flow and sure enough the Jet fuels a Low. Read below.

Recent: Tons of storms are moving east under NZL with lots in the Taz Sea and fetches under Tahiti. This has lead to none stop overlapping episodes. For the recent SW: she came from a Low in the Taz that had up to 40’ seas Wed 8/6 which is what we had this week.

Next: Another 2 Lows tracked SE of NZL Thursday 8/7 and these sources are being seen on Barbers buoy at 2’ 15 seconds for some 2-3’ SSW surf all weekend for the Dukes Oceanfest!

Next: Reinforcement Sunday afternoon should help our cause up to 3’ from the South into Monday with shorter periods but still fun most everywhere. The source is a storm off NZL 8/9-8/12 which got to within 3500 miles from us.

Next: Another Low under Tahiti has some weak fetch adding SSE swell to the above Friday-the weekend.

Next: a powerful Low with 55-65kts comes into our window SE of NZL splitting it potential as it slams into NZL. Some of its fetch hugs the East coast with a captured fetch. Watch for 18 sec forerunners Wed the 20th reaching 3’ 15 sec swells or 2-4+ SSW surf Thursday midday and hold into Friday at this size before backing down only alittle this coming weekend for the Dukes Finals.

Last: WW3 has a fat Low far to the SE of NZL Wed-Fr 20-22nd tracking NE with a captured fetch. If all works out this will be another well overhead SSW by the 28th. Thank you.

Windward side: We’ve had small 2’ East swell but that’s increasing due to a building High pressure and Julio dissipating. Look for 3’ surf over the next 5 days with higher surf from Karina midweek onward.

Tropics: Karina is moving our way and expected to reach Hurricane status. By Wed 20th there’s 2 cells within 200 miles of eachother which could merge or feed eachother thus cause greater uncertainty. Too early for any claims but for sure we’ll be keeping an eye on it.

(See SPAC models HERE)

 

FETCH: Often called the fetch length, is a term for the length of water or distance over which a given wind direction has blown. Fetch length along with the wind speed (or strength) determines the size of waves produced. The longer the fetch length and the faster the wind speed, the larger and stronger the wave will be and vice versa.
CAPTURED or FOLLOWING FETCH: Not only does the fetch length determine the power and energy of the wave. Additionally, if the winds/fetch are blowing in the same direction as during the wave's or storm's lifetime, the wave will in turn be even stronger. The fetch is related to the orbit of the wave and track of the storm.The longer the wind drags along the sea the more energy the wave will have. This can be seen not just in vertical height measurement but in wave period (the measurement of waves through time).
WAVES PERIOD:Time, in seconds, between the passage of consecutive wave crests past a fixed point. In general the longer the period the bigger the wave. Windswell or 'close interval' swells are under 10 seconds. Big 'ground swells' are 17-20+ seconds (note: a 20+ second swell needs storm force 50+kt winds blowing over a 1500 mile fetch to be fully developed' into 20-25' beasts; these 20 second waves can be felt 1000 feet down!). This is why they jack so much more, pulling large amounts of H2O off the outer reefs.

More generic marine definitions click this link  http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/marinedef.php

....All surf height observations and forecasts are for the full face surf height, from the trough to the crest of the wave.

Advisory and Warning Criteria
LocationAdvisoryWarning
North-Facing Shores 15 Feet (8') 25 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Big Island 8 Feet (4'+) 12 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Remaining Islands 12 Feet (7') 20 Feet
South-Facing Shores 8 Feet (4'+) 15 Feet
East-Facing Shores 8 Feet (4'+) 15 Feet
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