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3pm update Obs Sunday 7/24 powered by Primo Beer

Muggy SE winds prevail esp for Oahu. Overcast with isolated showers for Windward/ Mauka, Leeward and North. Tropical storm warning for Maui, Oahu & Kauai. High surf advisory for all East facing shores. Small craft Adv for all waters.

BIG PICTURE Updated. ENE eases (TS Darby) and SSW fades. Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF 7a, 12, 3, 5p

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North Shore:

Down and dropping on a 8 sec NE swell. Surf is 0-2' at most reef sections and good with straight offshores this afternoon. Sunset 0-2', Rockies Pt 0-2', Pipe is flat 0-1' Chuns 0-1', Laniakea 1-2+', Haleiwa 0-1. Trades filling to gale force as tropical storm Darby approaches.
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West:

Holding on the small 14 sec SW energy. Makaha is 0-1' breaking inside the reef. Select focusing reef sections seeing larger sets 1-1.5'.
It's 100% mush onshores with gray skies.
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Town:

Down and holding on the small 14 sec SW. Surf is 0-2' and inconsistent with extremely long waits between sets from Kewalos to Ala Moana to Kaisers. Onshore poop with plenty cloud cover.
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Diamond Head:

Down and holding on the 14 sec SW and 8 sec NE trade combo. Surf is a small 1-2' and inconsistent with crumbly onshores and poor form from Right Hands, Cliffs to Lighthouse. Humid SE winds pulled by Darby.
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Sandy's:

Down and dropping on the 8 sec ENE trade and minor 14 sec SSW pulse. Surf is 2-3' occ.4 from Full Pt - 1/2 point area, Pipe-littles 2-3+' from Middle Peaks-into the Chambers 2-3'; straight onshore and overcast.
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East Makapu'u:

Down and dropping on the 7 sec ENE swell. Makapu'u is 2-4' sets and much cleaner now with offshores; waves breaking outside of Generals & moving across the bay. Surf is 2-4' at Keiki's. High surf advisory no long really needed as before.

Weather

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 87°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
23mph SE

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 92°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
8mph SSE

Tuesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph NE

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 90°F

Overcast

Wind:
23mph NE

Range:
10-25mph S-SE

Range:
5-10mph E-NE
seabreezes
Range:
10-20mph NE

Range:
10-25mph NE
small craft advsry
Range:
10-25mph NE
small craft advsry

North

Monday
07/25
NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Dropping Slowly
9' 8 sec
Tuesday
07/26
NE
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Dropping

Wednesday
07/27
NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding

Thursday
07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Friday
07/29
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

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West

Monday
07/25
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding
2' 12 sec
Tuesday
07/26
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Wednesday
07/27
SW+SSW
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Rising
2.5' 14 sec + 1.5' 18 sec
Thursday
07/28
SW+SSW
Haw: 2-3 occ +
Face: 3-5 occ +
Rising
2.5' 15 sec SW
Friday
07/29
SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising

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South

Monday
07/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding
2.5' 12 sec
Tuesday
07/26
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Wednesday
07/27
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 14 sec + 1.5' 18 sec
Thursday
07/28
S-SW
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Rising
2.5' 15 sec
Friday
07/29
SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising Later
1' 20 sec
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east

Monday
07/25
E-NE
Haw: 3-5
Face: 5-9
Holding

Tuesday
07/26
E-NE
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Dropping

Wednesday
07/27
E-NE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Holding

Thursday
07/28
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising
7' 7 sec
Friday
07/29
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising

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Current Swells:

Monday   07/25
Primary: Holding  E-NE  3' surf at 7 sec
Secondary: Holding  SW  1-2' surf at 12 sec
Third: Holding  E  1-2' surf at 11 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Monday   07/25
No Advisorys
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Sailing Report:

Monday   07/25
Fair for all shores early with trades reaching 10-25mph and decreasing to 10-20mph by the afternoon.
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Diving Report:

Monday   07/25
Fair for deeper North, good for West, fair for deeper South and fair for select East

Oahu

SUNSET
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Konas moderate-fresh
fair

ROCKY POINT
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Konas moderate-fresh
fairly clean

Pipeline
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
Konas moderate-fresh
fairly clean

HALEIWA
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Konas moderate-fresh
diving , paddling and fishin'

MAKAHA
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Konas moderate-fresh
fair to good

ALA MOANA
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Konas moderate-fresh
semi-clean

Diamond Head
Monday   07/25
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Konas moderate-fresh
poor to fair

Sandy Beach
Monday   07/25
COMBO
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Konas moderate-fresh
bumpy

Makapuu
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Konas moderate-fresh
choppy

Maui

Hookipa
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Konas moderate-fresh
fair

Honolua
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Konas moderate-fresh
fair to good

Kihei
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Konas moderate-fresh
fairly clean

Hana
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Konas moderate-fresh
bumpy

Lahaina
Monday   07/25
SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Konas moderate-fresh
fairly clean

Kauai

Hanalei
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Konas moderate-fresh
good

Majors
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Konas moderate
smooth

Poipu
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Konas moderate
rainy, stormy

Kapaa
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Konas moderate-fresh
mild choppiness

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-4
Face: 3-7
Konas moderate-fresh
fair

Kohala
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
Kona winds
fairly clean

Kona
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Konas moderate-fresh
fair to good

Hilo
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Konas moderate-fresh
fair to good

Kau
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Konas moderate-fresh
fair

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE

Saturday July 23rd

‘Darby’ is the word of the week for waves, winds weather and warnings.
Surf is above warning levels along the Big Is SE and East shores. Maui’s rising too. Makapu’u is solid 6’ and Sandy’s much cleaner at solid 4’ (but it’s all building).

NPAC

Recent-current: We’ve had a near endless run of short period NE trade and tropical storm swells most the summer: One of the most consistent for at least waves to ride in the country in recent memory.

Next 1: Darby rising to 3’ or more esp for NE shores peaking over 6’ local size. The event will fade fast Monday with some underlying long period small ENE from Estelle swell even for Tuesday for upstream winds. Exact height is tough to call with a short fetch period and exact track of Darby up over or below the Islands. Big Is is the main hit for surf.

Next 2: Regular generic NE Trade swell fills back in Thursday onward with no ground swell in sight from the west, NW or central Pacific.


SPAC:

Recent and current: We had some small SW Taz surf up to about 2.5’ at top spots to sets but it’s fading this weekend. The source was a 45-55kt Low in the Taz 7/14.

Next: A Gale NE of NZL last Tuesday may bump us up later Tuesday the 26th to near 3’ surf at 14 sec. thru Wednesday. Light trades will be back after the southerlies from the passage of Darby Monday.

#2: A 45-55kt Low moved east over the Tz last Tuesday the 19th which may push up to 14 sec SSW Thursday-Friday the 28-29th to just over 2’ or about chest high.

Last: We could see some 15 sec SW Taz again filling Sat the 30th but nothing over 2’. We’ll keep an eye out. The Summer has been uneventful but at least it’s been very consistent.

Windward: High Surf warnings with tons of swell all week. Many beaches and parks are closed. Surf along the Big Is is 6-10’ and Maui 4-8’ and Oahu 4-6’ and Kauai 3-5’ but all are rising still.

Tropics: ‘Active’ is the term. In May some Meteorologist thought this year would see 5-7 storms between June 1 and Nov 30. We’ve had 7 already pop up and there’s 4 months to go (Frank and Georgette are behind Darby). Last El Nino season we had about 16 named Hurricanes…the second highest on record. We won’t likely get close to that number but only if this current Tropical Storm machine shuts down for awhile. By July 13th 2015 we already had 11 storms. Fingers crossed things calm down. They should.
The formal outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity during the 2016 hurricane season:
• 13-20 named storms,
• 6-11 hurricanes,
• 3-6 major hurricanes
• BE PREPARED
















Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)


Surfer's Wall Photos

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