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645am OBS Sunday 9/25 Powered by Cholos

Scattered clouds for Leeward with typical cloud cover for Windward/ Mauka. ENE trades filling to moderate (10-25mph). Smallcraft advisory for channels.

SSW fades, NW eases, ENE holds Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF 7a, 12p, 3p, 5p.

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North Shore:

Down and Dropping on a small 11 sec NW. Surf has come down a bit with top sets in the waist to chest-high range. Sunset 1-2', Rocky Pt 1-2', Pipe 0-1.5', Chuns 0-2', Laniakea 1-2' occ. 2.5', Haleiwa 0-1'. Light ENE trades early filling to moderate with passing clouds.
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West:

Down and dropping on the easing 11 sec NW and 13 sec SSW mix. Surf is inconsistent with top focusing reef sections seeing more frequency. Makaha is 1-2' and breaking just behind the reef. Clean with light offshore and mostly clear.
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Town:

Down and dropping on the small 13 sec SSW. Surf is 1-2' occ. + and mostly waist to chest-high. Top sets are inconsistent but still providing fun rides from Kewalos to Courts, Bowls to Kaisers. Threes-Pops-Queens are seeing mostly 1 to barely 2; Fairly clean with light ENE trades filling to moderate and scattered clouds.
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Diamond Head:

Down and dropping on the 13 sec SSW. Surf is 1-2 occ. + with decent energy and relatively consistent. Top sets providing waves in the waist to chest-high range. Light side-offshore bump filling to moderate by mid-morning from Right Hands, Cliffs to Lighthouse; passing clouds.
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Sandy's:

Holding on the 8 sec ENE trade swell energy and down on the easing SSW. Surf is 1-2' occ. 3' with consistent energy and side-shore bump. Top sets are providing head-high surf from Full Pt - 1/2 point area. 1-2' from Pipe-little's to Middle Peaks-into the Chambers; Light trades filling to moderate with scattered clouds.
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East Makapu'u:

Holding on the 8 sec ENE trade swell energy. Surf is 1-2' occ.+ and filling the inside sandbar. Fun and consistent 1-2' surf for Keiki's side. Early light trades filling to moderate with onshore chop and broken clouds.

Weather

Sunday
with="64"

Temp
min:
76°F
max: 88°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph NE

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 88°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
23mph NE

Tuesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 88°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph NE

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 88°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
18mph NE

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
75°F
max: 88°F

Chance of Rain

Wind:
18mph NE

Range:
10-25mph NE

Range:
10-25mph NE

Range:
10-25mph E-NE

Range:
10-25mph E-NE

Range:
10-20+mph E-NE

North

Sunday
09/25
NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping
1.9' 11 sec; clean, clear
Monday
09/26
NW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Dropping

Tuesday
09/27
NW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Dropping

Wednesday
09/28
N-NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Thursday
09/29
N-NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

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West

Sunday
09/25
COMBO
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Dropping
2' 11-13 sec; smooth, clear
Monday
09/26
COMBO
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Dropping

Tuesday
09/27
COMBO
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Holding

Wednesday
09/28
N-NW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising

Thursday
09/29
N-NW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Dropping
1.5' 8 sec
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South

Sunday
09/25
SW+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Rising
2' 13 sec; fairly clean, clear
Monday
09/26
SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Tuesday
09/27
SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Holding

Wednesday
09/28
SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Rising
1' 15 sec TAz
Thursday
09/29
SSE+SSW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Rising
1' 16 sec
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east

Sunday
09/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Rising Later
3.4' 8 sec; chop
Monday
09/26
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Rising

Tuesday
09/27
E-NE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5
Holding

Wednesday
09/28
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Dropping

Thursday
09/29
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

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Current Swells:

Sunday   09/25
Primary: Dropping  S-SW  1-2' surf at 13 sec
Secondary: Holding  E-NE  1-2.5' surf at 8 sec
Third: Holding  NW  2' surf at 11 sec
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Marine Warnings:

Sunday   09/25
Small craft advisory for channels
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Sailing Report:

Sunday   09/25
Fair to good for all shores with 10-25 ENE Trades
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Diving Report:

Sunday   09/25
Fair-Good for West; fair-good for deeper North, fair for deeper South, fair for most East spots

Oahu

SUNSET
Sunday   09/25
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
clean

ROCKY POINT
Sunday   09/25
NW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
fairly clean

Pipeline
Sunday   09/25
NW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Trades light-moderate
fairly clean

HALEIWA
Sunday   09/25
NW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Trades moderate
fair

MAKAHA
Sunday   09/25
NW SSW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Trades moderate
smooth

ALA MOANA
Sunday   09/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
good

Waikiki
Sunday   09/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades moderate
clean

Diamond Head
Sunday   09/25
COMBO
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
fair to good

Sandy Beach
Sunday   09/25
ENE+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Trades moderate
fair to good

Makapuu
Sunday   09/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Maui

Hookipa
Sunday   09/25
COMBO
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
Trades moderate
fair to good

Honolua
Sunday   09/25
NW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate
diving , paddling and fishin'

Kihei
Sunday   09/25
S-SW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
ENE Trades moderate
good

Hana
Sunday   09/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
ENE Trades moderate-fresh
choppy

Lahaina
Sunday   09/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
ENE Trades moderate
good

Kauai

Hanalei
Sunday   09/25
NW
Haw: 0-2
Face: 0-3
Trades moderate
good

Majors
Sunday   09/25
NW SSW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
ENE Trades moderate
good

Poipu
Sunday   09/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Trades moderate
good

Kapaa
Sunday   09/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Sunday   09/25
COMBO
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
ENE Trades moderate
bumpy

Kohala
Sunday   09/25
MIX
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Trades moderate
diving , paddling and fishin'

Kona
Sunday   09/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
ENE Trades moderate
smooth

Hilo
Sunday   09/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate-fresh
bumpy

Kau
Sunday   09/25
ENE+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Trades moderate
fair to good

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE Sunday 9.18.16

All NW shores have become dominant but let’s not to ignore the Taz -East Coast of NZ sources. After a long period of fun swell for town and country we just see 2 small NW’s and one moderate SSW for the rest of the month.

NPAC
The Jet is decently consolidated thru the next 7 day outlook but no significant NW ground swells form within it.
This last NW did reach 8’ (triple overhead) for top spot moments Saturday. The creator storm crept East off Kamchatka last Monday with its center tracking along the Aleutians and long wide fetch off its SW flank. The fetch is a nice direct hit Monday-Wednesday. We claimed 5-7’ NW peaking Saturday with the event filling Friday afternoon to 3-5’ with 18 sec forerunners.
An area of weak 30kt winds up near Kamchatka Sunday-Monday pointed mostly ESE so not a good fetch. We’ll see a 12 sec 1-3’ NW around Friday the 23rd with some more of the same into the weekend.
Then it’s lame until we ‘may’ see a small 3’ NW Friday the last day of the month. Well below seasonal.


SPAC

We’ve been doing above fall season sizes with back to back SW to SSW swells reaching well overhead at top moments. We’re at chest high today.
Next in line is a whopper winter low moving east from under NZL near the Ross Ice Shelf from Tuesday the 13th. The issue is the storms zonal or west to east track. Thanks to swell dispersion (angular spreading) of its broad area nearing 30’ seas we’ll should see some fun 2-4’ SSW surf by Wednesday the 21st. Forerunners will be 18 sec by 2pmTuesday with lully 3’ surf. (Southern Chile will hit 12-18’ easy by the 20th due to the captured fetch and storm track). Surf for us will slowly decline Thursday but still be 4’ and Friday 3’ etc.
We go into a slow pattern for the rest of Sept. after the above swell due to a zonal Jet near the Antarctic Ice sheet.

Tropics and Trade Swell

Trade swells have been average 2-3’ with average trade speed variation between moderate to strong. Last Friday surf ramped to 4’ due to the High NE of us pushing on the Low pressures to our SE-SW. This increases the pressure gradient in between the High and Low; thus the upstream trade swell & longer 9 sec periods. This swell eases up this week to 1-2’+ and holds.

Former Hurricane #15 (Orlene) luckily weakened and tracked N and stayed away for the Islands. We’ll only see average surf now along windward this Wed-Friday. (First models fantasized 8’ surf, thus proving the possible variations with such tropical systems). The season isn’t over technically till Nov 30th. Again, it could stop before or after pending the boss’s orders: Mother Nature.

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)

Surfer's Wall Photos

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