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645am Obs Monday 7/25 powered by Primo Beer

Cloudy, rainy, muggy (97%). Light SE winds prevail with isolated showers. Brown water, flooding.

BIG PICTURE Updated. ENE swell eases (TS Darby) and micro SSW fades further. Call the SNN Hotline 596-SURF 7a, 12, 3, 5p

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North Shore:

Chocolate river run off. Down and dropping on a 8 sec NE swell. Surf is 0-2' only for select reefs and real good with straight lite offshores. Sunset 0-1', Rockies Pt 0-1', Pipe is flat 0-1/2' Chuns 0-1/2', Laniakea 0-2', Haleiwa 0-1/2. Light SE winds and cloudy with very brown water. Stay out of those areas.
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West:

Down and Holding on the micro 13 sec SW energy. Makaha is 0-1' breaking inside & on the reef. Select focusing reef sections seeing larger sets.
It's bumpy onshores with very gray skies.
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Town:

Down and holding on the small 13 sec SW. Surf is 0-1.5' and inconsistent weak, lame 2' sets from Kewalos to Ala Moana to Kaisers. Onshore bumpiness with plenty cloud cover.
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Diamond Head:

Down and holding on the 13 sec SW. Surf is a small 0-1' mostly with some max 2' and inconsistent with weak, bumpy lite onshores and poor form from Right Hands, Cliffs to Lighthouse. Humid SE winds pulled by Darby.
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Sandy's:

Down and dropping on the 8 sec ENE trade and minor 13 sec SSW pulse. Surf is 1-2-3' max from Full Pt - 1/2 point area, Pipe-littles 1-3' from Middle Peaks-into the Chambers 1-3'; lite onshore and overcast.
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East Makapu'u:

Down and dropping on the 8sec ENE swell. Makapu'u is 2-3' sets and smooth offshores; some sets breaking outside of Generals & moving across the bay. Surf is 1-2+' at Keiki's. Cloudy,

Weather

Monday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
8mph SSE

Tuesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 92°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Wednesday
with="64"

Temp
min:
78°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
18mph ENE

Thursday
with="64"

Temp
min:
77°F
max: 91°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph ENE

Friday
with="64"

Temp
min:
76°F
max: 89°F

Partly Cloudy

Wind:
23mph NE

Range:
5-15mph S-SE

Range:
10-25mph E
small craft advsry
Range:
10-25mph NE
small craft advsry
Range:
15-30mph NE
small craft advsry
Range:
10-25mph NE
small craft advsry

North

Monday
07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Dropping Slowly
Choco Brown Water, smooth lite offshore, very cloudy
Tuesday
07/26
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Dropping

Wednesday
07/27
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Thursday
07/28
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Friday
07/29
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

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West

Monday
07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding
Light onshore, bumpy, cloudy
Tuesday
07/26
S-SW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Holding

Wednesday
07/27
SW+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 14 sec
Thursday
07/28
SW+SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 14 sec
Friday
07/29
SW
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising

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South

Monday
07/25
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding
2.5' 12 sec; bumpy onshore, cloudy
Tuesday
07/26
S-SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Holding

Wednesday
07/27
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 14 sec + 1.5' 18 sec
Thursday
07/28
S-SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising
2.5' 15 sec
Friday
07/29
SW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5
Rising Later

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east

Monday
07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Dropping

Tuesday
07/26
E-NE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Dropping

Wednesday
07/27
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Holding

Thursday
07/28
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising
7' 7 sec
Friday
07/29
E-NE
Haw: 1-2+
Face: 1-3+
Rising

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Current Swells:

Monday   07/25
Primary: Dropping  E-NE  2-4' surf at 8 sec
Secondary: Holding  SW  1-barely 2' surf at 13 sec
Third: Expected  ENE+SSW  3' surf at 8 & 15 sec Wednesday
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Marine Warnings:

Monday   07/25
Flash Flood Watch and Brown water Advsry for Oahu/Kauai
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Sailing Report:

Monday   07/25
Poor-fair due to light SE winds, clouds, rain, brown water run off, flash flood watches....
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Diving Report:

Monday   07/25
Brown water run off and flash flood watch: Poor for North, poor for West, poor for South and poor for East ALL dives.

Oahu

SUNSET
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
Kona South
Offshore

ROCKY POINT
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Winds Fickle
Offshore

Pipeline
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
Kona South
murky

HALEIWA
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1/2
Face: 0-1
Trades strong-gales
poor

MAKAHA
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Kona South
bumpy

ALA MOANA
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Winds Fickle
bumpy
brown, dirty
Waikiki
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Winds Calm to light
bumpy
SE wind
Diamond Head
Monday   07/25
COMBO
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Variables to konas
bumpy

Sandy Beach
Monday   07/25
COMBO
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5
Calm to Konas
bumpy

Makapuu
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 1-3+
Face: 2-5+
Konas light
smooth

Maui

Hookipa
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +
Variables to konas
rainy, stormy

Honolua
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Kona South
poor to fair

Kihei
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Calm to light
slightly bumpy

Hana
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-3 occ +
Face: 3-5 occ +
Konas light
smooth

Lahaina
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Konas light
bumpy

Kauai

Hanalei
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Variables to konas
smooth

Majors
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Variables to konas
bumpy

Poipu
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3
Variables to konas
bumpy

Kapaa
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Variables to konas
smooth

Big Island

Hamakua Coast
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Calm to light
smooth

Kohala
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Calm to Konas
bumpy

Kona
Monday   07/25
S-SW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2
Calm to light
bumpy

Hilo
Monday   07/25
NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Kona winds
smooth

Kau
Monday   07/25
E-NE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+
Konas light
bumpy

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

BIG PICTURE

Saturday July 23rd

‘Darby’ is the word of the week for waves, winds weather and warnings.
Surf is above warning levels along the Big Is SE and East shores. Maui’s rising too. Makapu’u is solid 6’ and Sandy’s much cleaner at solid 4’ (but it’s all building).

NPAC

Recent-current: We’ve had a near endless run of short period NE trade and tropical storm swells most the summer: One of the most consistent for at least waves to ride in the country in recent memory.

Next 1: Darby rising to 3’ or more esp for NE shores peaking over 6’ local size. The event will fade fast Monday with some underlying long period small ENE from Estelle swell even for Tuesday for upstream winds. Exact height is tough to call with a short fetch period and exact track of Darby up over or below the Islands. Big Is is the main hit for surf.

Next 2: Regular generic NE Trade swell fills back in Thursday onward with no ground swell in sight from the west, NW or central Pacific.


SPAC:

Recent and current: We had some small SW Taz surf up to about 2.5’ at top spots to sets but it’s fading this weekend. The source was a 45-55kt Low in the Taz 7/14.

Next: A Gale NE of NZL last Tuesday may bump us up later Tuesday the 26th to near 3’ surf at 14 sec. thru Wednesday. Light trades will be back after the southerlies from the passage of Darby Monday.

#2: A 45-55kt Low moved east over the Tz last Tuesday the 19th which may push up to 14 sec SSW Thursday-Friday the 28-29th to just over 2’ or about chest high.

Last: We could see some 15 sec SW Taz again filling Sat the 30th but nothing over 2’. We’ll keep an eye out. The Summer has been uneventful but at least it’s been very consistent.

Windward: High Surf warnings with tons of swell all week. Many beaches and parks are closed. Surf along the Big Is is 6-10’ and Maui 4-8’ and Oahu 4-6’ and Kauai 3-5’ but all are rising still.

Tropics: ‘Active’ is the term. In May some Meteorologist thought this year would see 5-7 storms between June 1 and Nov 30. We’ve had 7 already pop up and there’s 4 months to go (Frank and Georgette are behind Darby). Last El Nino season we had about 16 named Hurricanes…the second highest on record. We won’t likely get close to that number but only if this current Tropical Storm machine shuts down for awhile. By July 13th 2015 we already had 11 storms. Fingers crossed things calm down. They should.
The formal outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity during the 2016 hurricane season:
• 13-20 named storms,
• 6-11 hurricanes,
• 3-6 major hurricanes
• BE PREPARED
















Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is. - 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4+ local) 15 Feet (8’ local)

Tropical Storm - winds 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)


Surfer's Wall Photos

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